A 20-year timeline in aircraft manufacturing is not really a very long time, considering how long it takes to get a new plane from the conceptual stage to a delivered product. The 787 Dreamliner from Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) took more than eight years to get from concept to first delivery in 2011.
In last year’s forecast, Airbus forecast the global fleet would increase from a then-current count of 15,550 to 32,500 by 2031. That indicates that the number of new planes that will go into service annually also would nearly double.
Demand will grow the fastest in the Asia-Pacific region, where Airbus projects 36% of all new aircraft deliveries will take place. European demand for new airplanes is expected to grow by 20% and North American demand by 19%.
In the United States, some 85% of the demand for new planes will be for single-aisle planes like the Boeing 737 and Airbus A320 that serve the domestic market. U.S. carriers like Delta Air Lines Co. (NYSE: DAL), Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) and United Continental Holdings Inc. (NYSE: UAL) are expected to take delivery of more than 5,500 new planes by 2032. Some 59% of those will replace existing aircraft, and 41% will meet growing demand for air travel.
Airbus believes the economic growth in emerging nations will surpass growth in developed countries, and that 62% of the world’s population will be included in the middle-class by 2032, up from 32% today. Increasing urbanization also will help drive passenger traffic.
Get Ready To Retire (Sponsored)
Start by taking a quick retirement quiz from SmartAsset that will match you with up to 3 financial advisors that serve your area and beyond in 5 minutes, or less.
Each advisor has been vetted by SmartAsset and is held to a fiduciary standard to act in your best interests.
Here’s how it works:
1. Answer SmartAsset advisor match quiz
2. Review your pre-screened matches at your leisure. Check out the advisors’ profiles.
3. Speak with advisors at no cost to you. Have an introductory call on the phone or introduction in person and choose whom to work with in the future
Get started right here.
Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.