Microsoft and Premature Hari Kari, Death of Guidance (MSFT)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Burning_money_pic_2Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) was not supposed to report earnings until after the close of trading.  But something happened for the first time we have ever seen.  The company unexpectedly released earnings at 9:00 AM EST.  The news was bad, and if you work there it may be really bad news.

Earnings fell 6% to $0.47 EPS and the revenuegain was 2% to $16.63 billion.  First Call estimates were $0.49 EPS and$17.08 billion in revenue.

The breakdown is not much prettier:

  • Client revenue declined 8%, from weak PC sales and from lower priced netbooks;
  • Server & Tools revenue grew of 15%;
  • Entertainment and Devices revenue grew 3% after a record 6 million units of Xbox 360 sold in the holiday quarter.

Microsoft is cutting cap-ex and is announcing layoffs of 5,000 jobs inR&D, marketing, sales, finance, legal, HR, and IT over the next 18months.  Some 1,400 jobs are being cut today. The company believes thatit can save $1.5 billion and reduce fiscal year 2009 cap-ex by $700million.

The guidance is down, and unsurprisingly not very firm.  The company isplanning for economic uncertainty to continue through the remainder ofthe fiscal year.  It now believes this will "almost certainly leadingto lower revenue and earnings for the second half relative to theprevious year."  The company said it can no longer offer quantitativerevenue and earnings guidance.

With the trends we have been following, none of this is a huge surprise.  And none of its is pretty.  Not at all.

Shares are down 7% pre-market at $17.99 on more than 4 million shares as of 9:15 AM EST.

Jon C. Ogg
January 22, 2009

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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