Can Activist Investors Fix Procter & Gamble? Take A Poll!!!

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By Jon C. Ogg Updated Published
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The ongoing calls to bring change at Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG) are growing.  The company’s shares have become stuck and many investors feel that the company has grown too large to be able to manage itself.  With a $175 billion market cap, we cannot help but wonder how much an activist investor can influence change here.  We want you to read first, but there is a poll to take at the bottom.

Bill Ackman of Pershing Square has reportedly been given permission from the Federal Trade Commission to proceed with this investment that could enable a change in control procedure. Reports are out that Ackman has taken a large stake.

Other market pundits have been calling for change here as well, and even Jim Cramer of CNBC has commented on the matter.  Both Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE: KMB) and the much lower yielding Colgate-Palmolive Co. (NYSE: CL) have outperformed P&G’s share performance. Warren Buffett via Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK-A) has unloaded some of the P&G stake and the latest position was down to 76.7 million shares from the 96.3 million shares in prior quarters as the situation is a maturing one.

The good news for new investors looking to take a stake in P&G is that the stock now has a higher dividend yield than the rival Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE: KMB) at closer 3.6% versus about 3.5% and there is now a relative ‘yield bubble’ in Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE: KMB) along with several other key dividend and safety stocks where the price is way above the consensus analyst price target objective.

We cannot help but wonder just how large of a stake it would take to effect change here for P&G.  A market capitalization rate of $175 billion requires some deep pockets for activist investing. The first 5% hurdle requiring 13D filings would run $8.75 billion if the shares were purchased outright without getting others to just proxy their shares.  Taking a 10% stake would require a whopping $17.5 billion based upon today’s value.

[polldaddy poll=6385563]

JON C. OGG

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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