Merrill Lynch’s 3 Top Global Bank Stocks to Buy Have Tremendous Upside

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By Lee Jackson Published
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In a world where the financial system stretches to the lengths of the globe, investors wanting to add financials to a well-rounded portfolio need to look for investment banks with true international exposure. With markets tapping all-time highs, the financial sector looks very impressive for forward growth. Only two sectors have done worse this year than the financials’ 7.65% gain, and those are energy and industrials. A new research report from the financial team at Merrill Lynch highlights three top investment banks with strong U.S. and international business.

The analysts at Merrill Lynch report that 2014 capital markets business so far was better than expected, and while investment banking took a seasonal hit, the fourth quarter should prove to be better. With the first half of 2015 providing the usual seasonality issues, the improving macro backdrop and current very reasonable valuation make three stocks look very appealing.

All three Merrill Lynch global bank picks are rated Buy.

Barclays PLC (NYSE: BCS) is an international financial services provider engaged in personal banking, credit cards, corporate and investment banking and wealth management with an extensive presence in Europe, the Americas, Africa and Asia. It is also the company that acquired the Lehman Brothers brokerage offices and staff in the United States after it failed in 2008. Barclays operates in more than 50 countries and employs approximately 140,000 people. It moves, lends, invests and protects money for customers and clients worldwide.

Barclays investors are paid a 1.70% dividend. The Merrill Lynch price target for the stock is $20.83. The Thomson/First Call consensus target is $18.71. Shares closed trading on Tuesday at $15.21.

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Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) makes the list at Merrill Lynch and is trading at a very reasonable 11.5 times forward 2015 earnings. In addition, Citi is still trading below the 52-week high set way back in January of this year. With its tremendous global business model, the Merrill Lynch analysts feel that the banking giant’s current market multiple is very discounted compared to peers. While regulatory and capital standards will continue to be a factor, the risk is well overridden by the upside potential.

Citigroup still just pays a tiny 0.1% dividend. Merrill Lynch has a $65 price target, and the consensus target is $59.39. Shares ended Tuesday at $53.19.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) continues to show tremendous growth, and it is running neck and neck with Goldman Sachs as the bank of choice for high-profile IPOs. Trading at a price-to-earnings multiple of 12, that seems extremely reasonable given the 2015 expectations for earnings growth of more than 20%, a price-to-book ratio of 1.00 and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.96. The company also has 602 billion in cash equivalents on its balance sheet, versus $368 billion in total debt

Morgan Stanley investors are paid a 1.1% dividend. The Merrill Lynch price target is set at $38, the consensus target is $36.60. Shares closed Thursday trading at $34.66.

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While many on Wall Street see the American economy as the shining star for 2015, owning the top financial names with significant presence in fast growing areas like Asia and Latin America also makes very good sense. These stocks are suitable for long-term growth accounts that can handle some market volatility.

Photo of Lee Jackson
About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

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