Tesla Does Not Trade Like a Company About to Go Private

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Tesla Does Not Trade Like a Company About to Go Private

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Elon Musk went further to explain his tweet that Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) might go private. The comments have gotten him in trouble with the SEC and some investors. No matter what he has to say about the process, the market is skeptical. Tesla’s stock has not traded like a company that will be taken private at a premium to the current share price.

Musk wrote in a recent blog post:

Going back almost two years, the Saudi Arabian sovereign wealth fund has approached me multiple times about taking Tesla private. They first met with me at the beginning of 2017 to express this interest because of the important need to diversify away from oil. They then held several additional meetings with me over the next year to reiterate this interest and to try to move forward with a going private transaction. Obviously, the Saudi sovereign fund has more than enough capital needed to execute on such a transaction.

About his meeting with the Saudis on July 31, Musk said a deal “could be closed.” Since then, there are rumors that private equity interests also could participate in the process.

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Musk further wrote that he believes that about two-thirds of current investors would want to remain investors in the private company. That means the estimates he would need $70 billion to close the transaction are wrong. The $420 share price for anyone wants to cash out would apply, therefore, to about a third of shareholders. That cuts the cost of the entire transaction to something below $25 billion.

Tesla’s share price is currently $356 and has dropped over 4% in the past five trading days. That by itself is a sign few investors are diving into the stock in anticipation that a deal at $420 a share is likely.

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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