Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) was an absolute market darling going into this coronavirus scare, but since then it has sold off with the rest of the market. Although the future is bright for Tesla, the short term is uncertain. As a result, one independent research firm issued a downgrade on the brainchild of Elon Musk.
Bill Selesky of Argus downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy and dropped the near-term earnings estimates. Essentially, Selesky expects that the coronavirus pandemic will have a negative impact on vehicle deliveries.
Prior to the outbreak, analysts were calling for fairly robust deliveries from Tesla in 2020, as consumers continued to flock to the Model S, Model X and, more recently, the Model 3, which accounted for more than 80% of fourth-quarter production.
Additionally, despite past production delays, parts shortages, labor cost overruns and other difficulties, Argus had expected Tesla to benefit from its dominant position in the electric vehicle industry and to improve performance in 2020 and subsequent years. The firm still thinks that Tesla has strong long-term prospects. However, in the near term, Argus believes that consumers will focus on basic concerns (food, safety, employment and so on) and expects consumer confidence and spending to take a major hit as consumers defer large discretionary purchases.
Argus’s 2020 delivery forecast for Tesla is now 409,000 vehicles, down 19% from the original forecast. The long-term rating remains Buy.
Selesky further detailed in the report:
We are lowering our 2020 EPS estimate to $5.65 from $8.01 based on the impact of the pandemic and our lower revenue forecast for the year. The consensus is currently $6.65. We believe the consensus will fall as analysts revise their estimates. We are also lowering our 2021 EPS estimate to $12.55 from $15.68, again reflecting the fallout from the coronavirus and our view that vehicle demand (though improving from 2020) will be slow to recover. The 2021 consensus is $13.55.
Tesla stock traded up about 16% on Tuesday, at $502.68 in a 52-week range of $176.99 to $968.99. The consensus price target is $472.90.
24/7 Wall St.Want to Retire Early? Start Here (Sponsor)
Want retirement to come a few years earlier than you’d planned? Or are you ready to retire now, but want an extra set of eyes on your finances?
Now you can speak with up to 3 financial experts in your area for FREE. By simply clicking here you can begin to match with financial professionals who can help you build your plan to retire early. And the best part? The first conversation with them is free.
Click here to match with up to 3 financial pros who would be excited to help you make financial decisions.
Have questions about retirement or personal finance? Email us at [email protected]!
By emailing your questions to 24/7 Wall St., you agree to have them published anonymously on a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.
By submitting your story, you understand and agree that we may use your story, or versions of it, in all media and platforms, including via third parties.
Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.
Latest from 24/7
