The Great Big Gun Downgrade: Dirty Harry and Wall Street

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
By Jon C. Ogg Updated Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

In Thursday’s top analyst upgrades and downgrades from 247 Wall St., one significant downgrade that stood out the most was in shares of Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: SWHC). KeyBanc Capital Markets was already at a somewhat cautious Hold rating after the gunsmith’s stock had risen so much, but now the rating was taken down to Underperform.

On top of the downgrade came a $10 price target. That implied a downside risk of about 18% from Wednesday’s closing price of $12.18. The news sent shares down 8.2% to $11.18 shortly before the closing bell. Trading volume also was nearly triple the average daily volume of 2.1 million shares.

It turns out that this downgrade was viewed as a “gun downgrade,” even if the Thursday market weakness may have contributed to the selling. Shares of Sturm, Ruger & Co. Inc. (NYSE: RGR) were down 4% to $52.80 shortly before Thursday’s closing bell. The gunmaker has a market cap of $1.02 billion and a 52-week trading range of $40.00 to $60.11.

Even Alliant Techsystems Inc. (NYSE: ATK) was down, with its shares down about 1.6% to $98.42 shortly before the close. This is the largest bullet manufacturer in America, and its shares are now down about 3% from the recent multiyear high.

Earlier in the week came reports that the FBI gun background checks did not grow in July versus June. You have heard the term peak oil before, and the market is taking this as “peak gun demand” perhaps having passed by. KeyBanc thinks that gun demand has either peaked or plateaued.

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618