Over the last three months, the price of Sirius (SIRI) shares has risen over 7% twice. The most recent was January 10 when the share moved up 7.3% to $3.98. The second time was November 22 when the share jumped 8.1% to $4.29.
Then, there was today. The stock traded over 258.5 million shares. It was up only 5.95% to $3.92.
This was supposed to be the deal of the decade. The deal of the year, at least. XM (XMSR) and Sirius together. Huge costs savings. The works.
But, the market does not buy it. Either Wall St. believes that satellite radio will stay under siege from the iPod, the iPhone, the music phone and WiMax, or investors believe that the FCC will shut the deal down. And, the government could either say "no" altogether or simply suggest that pricing is going to be capped or that a competitor can come into the market with a new license.
Any which way, it ain’t good.
Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at [email protected]. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.