The Labor Department just posted a pretty ugly jobs number. Normally we do not pay quite as much attention to the weekly numbers, but they are getting worse and worse. This last week’s report showed 455,000 weekly jobless claims. This was up 7,000 from the 448,000 the week before, which was actually left unchanged.
What is more important than even the number is the perspective. This appears to be the highest number since early in 2002. Yep, that’s right after the 9/11 crisis and right as things were getting really bad.
If you are Dr. Pangloss you can say that maybe this is a top in the jobless claims if this is the worst in over six years. If youare watching trends continue to get worse, then you will think this mayjust be the beginning.
Either way, the good news is that they keep showing us that there is noofficial recession. It’s just a recession for 85% of the country. Itseems that more positions are needed for babysitters and housekeepers,but people can’t pay for them.
Jon C. Ogg
August 7, 2008