Jobless Figures, Ominous For Tomorrow’s Unemployment

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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UnemplyWe have just seen the figure for weekly jobless claims, and it is an ugly prelude to tomorrow’s unemployment and non-farm payroll data.  The good news is that worker productivity came in better than expected, but as the unit labor costs are running up so much you have to wonder if management will decide that it can keep firing the worker bees.

The weekly figures came in at 481,000 versus expectations of 479,000. Last week’s numbers were also revised higher to 485,000 from 479,000.  Is there any comfort that this has not come in at over 500,000 yet?

Continuing jobless claims grew again and now sits at 3.84 million from a revised 3.72 million.

Productivity came in at +1.1% rather than +0.4% and unit labor costs came in at +3.6% rather than the 3.0% expected.

Unemployment is expected to come in at 6.3% tomorrow after a 6.1% reading the prior month.  Non-Farm Payrolls are also expected to come in -200,000.

Forget morale, the beatings must continue.

Jon C. Ogg
November 6, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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