Consumer Confidence Roars Back in February

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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The Conference Board has released its monthly report on consumer confidence for the month of February. This represents a major recovery to 69.6%. This is not only way above estimates, but it erases what was a dismal trough in January.

Bloomberg had expectations of 61%, versus 58.6% in January, with a range offered of 58.0% to as high as 66.5%. Dow Jones was calling for a reading at 62.0%. Keep in mind that this report was on the heels of last month’s major drop of 8.1 points, which was also the lowest level since 2011 during the debt ceiling fiasco. This is also a February number so it is more current than many of the other economic reports we have seen.

The Present Situation Index increased to 63.3 from 56.2. The Expectations Index improved to 73.8 from 59.9 last month.

The key comment to take away from the Conference Board report is: “… rebounded in February as the shock effect caused by the fiscal cliff uncertainty and payroll tax cuts appears to have abated. Consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions is more positive than last month.”

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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