Consumer Inflation Ticks Higher in March

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the month of March did not follow the exact same gains as last week’s Producer Price Index. That generally takes two months or even more before producers and wholesalers can pass on the costs directly to consumers. A Tuesday report from the Labor Department showed that inflation at the consumer level rose by 0.2%.

March’s inflation reading showed a gain of 0.2% for both the headline CPI and the core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and energy sectors. Bloomberg had the estimates as a gain for 0.1% on both readings. Dow Jones also was expecting 0.1%.

Energy prices were tame, with a 0.1% decline as gasoline was down by 1.7%, but food prices did come into play with another gain of 0.4% for the month.

Where this story gets more interesting is in the FOMC’s inflation target of 2.0%. Prices are measured on a monthly change in the headlines, but the year-over-year change was up by 1.5% in March from 1.1% for February.

The FOMC’s 2.0% target, and up to a 2.5% upper band, has not come close to being hit at this point. As long as inflation remains this low, it is less and less likely that the voices calling for a more rapid rate hike policy to end the zero-rate environment will be able to get much of a say in the matter.

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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