Durable Goods Show Record Decline, Following Record Gain

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
By Jon C. Ogg Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

Durable goods are showing a record drop for the month of August, but that is on the heels of a record gain in the month of July. August’s durable goods reading from the Commerce Department came in at -18.2%, worse than the -17.5% consensus from Dow Jones and even worse than the -17.1% consensus from Bloomberg. We would remind readers that durable goods is perhaps the most volatile of all economic readings from a month-to-month perspective.

If you back out the highly volatile transportation segment, durable goods rose by 0.7%. Bloomberg was calling for a gain of 0.8% here. Backing out defense, the orders were -19.0%.

The key reading here is the non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft. This is the key barometer used for a core reading and is considered to be a leading indicator — it rose by 0.6% in August.

These numbers look atrocious if you just read the headlines, but it is a record drop on the heels of a record gain — so the two months should act to negate each other over a longer period. July’s headline durable goods was revised to a gain of 22.5% from a preliminary gain of 22.6%.

Equity futures listed lower after the report, but the massive drop is really not so far off of estimates that should make the panic button be hit. Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) may be the key blame here, as orders for new planes were 324 in July — and only 107 in August.

ALSO READ: 10 Companies Cutting the Most Jobs

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618