Economy
Dallas Fed Shows Low Oil Not Hurting Texas Manufacturing
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The fears about falling oil prices have been the focus of conversations around the country. While many states and cities are happy to see lower gasoline prices at the pump, many regions have grown worried that the ever lower oil prices may start to cause recessions in regions where oil is so dominant. The long and short of the matter is that low oil prices are not killing the manufacturing sector yet. There is some softness in the general business activity, as well as some slowing in the growth of future general business activity, but so far manufacturing seems to be holding strong.
The Dallas Federal Reserve released its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey for the month of December, showing that factory activity increased again in December. The Fed showed that the production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rose strongly from 6.0 to 15.8, indicating output grew at a faster pace in December.
Also, other index measurements of current manufacturing activity indicated continued growth during December. Perceptions of broader economic conditions remained positive this month, while labor market indicators reflected unchanged work weeks but continued employment increases. Upward pressures on prices eased, while wage pressure increased slightly, and expectations regarding future business conditions remained optimistic.
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Data were collected from December 15 to 23, and 107 Texas manufacturers responded to the survey. Additional results were listed as follows:
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Note that much of the serious drop in oil was seen in December and has yet to be factored into orders and activity in the months ahead. Some of that almost certainly will be dictated by the direction of oil. For now, it seems as though the local economy’s manufacturing activity is holding up rather well against the drop in oil prices.
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