China’s Manufacturing Recession Continues in August

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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China’s Manufacturing Recession Continues in August

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China’s official PMI reading for August came in at 49.5, its fourth month of contraction. The government made the announcement along with several others about August economic performance. The trade war with the United States has started to bite hard, without question.

Government news agency Xinhua reported:

The purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for China’s manufacturing sector dipped to 49.5 in August from 49.7 in July, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Saturday.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below reflects contraction.

A breakdown of the data showed manufacturing production maintained expansion, but market demand moderated amid a complex economic environment, NBS senior statistician Zhao Qinghe said.

[nativounit]

The sub-index for production edged down 0.2 points to 51.9 in Aug., signaling continuous expansion but at a slower pace, while that for new orders was down by 0.1 point to 49.7. The new export order sub-index, however, rebounded by 0.3 points to 47.2.

Among the 21 industries surveyed, 17 were in the expansion zone, up from 12 in July, and 11 recorded month-on-month increases.

The reading also showed industrial upgrading continued apace, with high-tech manufacturing and consumption-related sectors maintaining rapid expansion, Zhao said.

Saturday’s data also showed the China’s composite PMI edged down 0.1 point to 53, which had remained in a range of 53-53.4 for five consecutive months and indicated steady business expansion.

There have been halting efforts at new trade talks, but nothing concrete enough to hope with the issues between the two nations will end soon, and certainly not within the next several months. There is a great deal of debate about whether the Chinese central government is prepared to handle a full-scale recession and an economy worse than that after the 2008-2009 financial crisis.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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