German Business Confidence Is Shattered

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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German Business Confidence Is Shattered

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Businesspeople in German signaled that they have come close to losing all hope for the economy now and in the foreseeable future, based on a widely followed survey. It is another sign that, country by country, the perception that the COVID-19 pandemic is destroying the economy is nearly universal.

The ifo Business Climate Index fell to an all-time low in April in a drop, which was characterized as “drastic” and a “massive deterioration in the current situation.” There was nothing to indicate a reason to believe in improvement. The figure posted was 74.3 points for April compared to 85.9 in March.

The numbers are particularly frightening for Europe. Germany is the largest economy in the region by far and is considered the engine of gross domestic product for the countries around it. As measured by nominal GDP, Germany is also the fourth largest nation in the world at $4 trillion last year, behind the United States ($20.5 trillion), China ($13.4 trillion) and Japan ($5 trillion).

Germany is ahead of the United Kingdom ($2.8 trillion) and France ($2.7 trillion). As a detailed measurement of the business climate in other nations, particularly the United States, are released, they are expected to mirror Germany’s.

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The ifo Business Climate Index contained the following observation:

In manufacturing, the Business Climate Index has fallen to its lowest value since March 2009. Industrial companies’ current business situation worsened dramatically. Expectations are marked by extreme pessimism. The expectations indicator fell to a historic low. Demand for industrial products has collapsed.

In the service sector, the business climate indicator fell to a record low. Service providers have never reached such a poor assessment of their current situation. The pessimism of their expectations is also without precedent.

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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