Will Social Security Be Solvent in 2035?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Will Social Security Be Solvent in 2035?

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Will the Social Security Administration continue payments it is obligated to make for Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and the Disability Insurance Trust Fund? Probably not. Payments may well be cut to 80% of currently expected levels. That leaves over 60 million Americans with less money to live on than expected.
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In the latest Social Security and Medicare Trustee Report, the trustees pointed out that income paid into the fund will no longer be sufficient to support antiquated payments. An aging population will not help. Fewer Americans will support Social Security recipients.
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The only ready solution to the problem is to increase Social Security taxes. Congress is unlikely to do that. A proposal to raise taxes of any kind is rarely popular with voters.
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One enemy of the length over which Social Security can be paid is inflation. The Trustees reported, “Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits for approximately 70 million Americans will increase 8.7 percent in 2023.” The consumer price index has been high enough that another large bump may hurt the balance of the funds again in 2024.
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One core of the problem is that, if Social Security payments are decreased because the funds have started to run low, older Americans will have less money to spend, both on essential and discretionary spending. That, in turn, slows the economy. As many as 60 million Americans could feel this reduction in income

Few people think about how Social Security payments might affect gross domestic product in the next decade. It is worth some consideration, by individuals, businesses and Congress.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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