Deutsche Bank Says Permian Basin Oil Stocks Still Best Buys

By Lee Jackson Updated Jan 13, 3:10AM EST · Published Sep 26, 10:05AM EDT

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Deutsche Bank Says Permian Basin Oil Stocks Still Best Buys — © Thinkstock

[cnxvideo id=”655234″ placement=”ros”]Analysts across Wall Street remain very positive on exploration and production companies that are doing the lion’s share of their drilling in the Permian basin in West Texas. While many remain very cautious on the overall sector due to the oil pricing volatility, focusing on the best stocks in the best areas looks to be a good plan for investors seeking energy exposure.

In a new report, the energy team at Deutsche Bank also remain cautious. They point to some lingering concerns that producers, regardless of where they are or the state of their finances, are pointing toward higher activity levels and pushing breakeven economics lower. The report notes that the Permian is the most advantaged region to drill in given superior economics, In fact, cash break-evens can range from as low as $15 to $35 a barrel.

Concho Resources

Besides being one of the top energy plays in the Permian Basin, this is also a Wall Street favorite. Concho Resources Inc. (NYSE: CXO) is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, development and exploration of oil and natural gas properties.

Earlier this year the company recently announced three separate transactions that enhance its position in the southern Delaware Basin, high grade the company’s portfolio and reduce net debt:

It agreed to acquire approximately 12,000 net acres complementary to its core North Harpoon prospect in Ward and Reeves Counties, Texas, from a private operator for total consideration of approximately $360 million, through a combination of common stock, cash and drilling carry.
Concho Resources completed an acreage exchange with Clayton Williams Energy, consolidating 21,000 net non-operated acres into a concentrated, operated position adjacent to the Concho’s Big Chief prospect in Reeves County.
The company also agreed to sell 14,000 net acres in Loving County, Texas, for cash proceeds of $290 million.

The aggregate impact of these transactions is neutral to Concho’s 2016 capital and production outlook.

The company posted solid second-quarter results that beat estimates as production came in above the high end of guidance and costs surprised to the downside. The Southern Delaware basin showed good performance during the quarter.

The Deutsche Bank price target for the stock is $150. The Wall Street consensus target is $148.03. Shares closed on Friday at $125.03.

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Diamondback Energy

This remains another favorite of Wall Street analysts and is another top Permian Basin play. Diamondback Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FANG) is an independent oil and natural gas company headquartered in Midland, Texas, and focused on the acquisition, development, exploration and exploitation of unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin. Diamondback’s activities are primarily focused on the horizontal exploitation of multiple intervals within the Wolfcamp, Spraberry, Clearfork and Cline formations.

Wall Street analysts have noted in the past the company’s top-tier asset base, solid accretive additions and financial discipline, which they think allows for not only continued solid cash flow, but could put the company in play as a takeover target. Diamondback continues to drill some of the most economical wells in the United States as efficiencies improve, costs decrease and activity remains in the better regions.

The company announced solid numbers for the second quarter and also previously said that production would be higher. In addition, the company continues to lower drilling costs and times. Leading-edge Midland Basin costs to drill, complete and equip wells are currently below $6.0 million for a 10,000 foot lateral well and below $5.0 million for a 7,500 foot lateral well.

During the second quarter of 2016, Diamondback drilled a 10,000 foot lateral well in Andrews County and a 10,500 foot lateral well in Glasscock County in less than nine days each from spud to total depth, a new record for the company.

Deutsche Bank has a $112 price target. The consensus is at $107.25. The shares closed Friday at $88.92.

RSP Permian

This was one of the production growth leaders in the last half of 2015 and into 2016. RSP Permian Inc. (NYSE: RSPP) is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development and production of unconventional oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin. The vast majority of the company’s acreage is located on large, contiguous acreage blocks in the core of the Midland Basin, a subbasin of the Permian.

The company has caught a string of upgrades from top Wall Street firm during the spring and summer, and many have pointed to the possibility that the company may very well be a potential takeover candidate. The company reported inline second-quarter earnings, while revenues topped forecasts at $81.5 million.

The $48 Deutsche Bank price target compares with the consensus figure of $44.45. The stock closed Friday at $35.68.

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Three outstanding companies that continue to be favorites across Wall Street. All are participating in the basin many think is the best in the country, and all are extremely well run.

About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.