AEP Earnings Stung by Ohio Deregulation

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By Paul Ausick Updated Published
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American Electric Power Co. Inc. (NYSE: AEP) reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 results before markets opened Monday. For the quarter, the utility company posted operating earnings per share (EPS) of $0.60 on revenues of $3.80 billion. In the same period a year ago, the company reported EPS of $0.50 on revenues of $3.61 billion. Fourth-quarter results also compare to the Thomson Reuters consensus estimates for EPS of $0.57 and $3.55 billion in revenues.

For the full year, EPS came in at $3.23 on revenues of $15.4 billion, compared with consensus estimates calling for EPS of $3.19 on revenues of $15.6 billion.

Quarterly and full-year EPS exclude a gain due to the reversal of a third-quarter Texas regulatory disallowance of $0.11 a share.

AEP affirmed earlier guidance for 2014, saying it expects operating EPS in the range of $3.20 to $3.40. The consensus estimate calls for $3.33 on revenues of $16.04 billion.

The company’s CEO said:

AEP shareholders received a 14.2 percent total return in 2013, including dividends, which exceeded the total shareholder return of 7.8 percent for the S&P 500 Electric Utilities Index. We increased our annual dividend by 6.4 percent, and our debt to total capitalization improved to 54.3 percent, the lowest ratio in 15 years. Additionally, our qualified pension plan funding reached 99 percent.

AEP’s dividend yield is 4.3%, and the utility pays a quarterly dividend of $0.50 a share. More than 90% of the company’s revenues have been generated by regulated assets that provide predictable cash flow and operating margins.

Power company deregulation in Ohio, though, is already having an impact on revenues and earnings, and the company plans to offset a significant portion of those lost dollars with increased revenues and earnings in its transmission segment.

The company’s generating capacity totals 37,600 megawatts, of which 71% (about 26,700 megawatts) are coal-fired. AEP has reduced its coal-fired generation from 82% just three years ago and about doubled its natural gas-fired capacity to 17%. By 2016, AEP expects to retire another 5,500 megawatts of coal-fired generation. The company also says it needs new or enhanced environmental controls or a switch to natural gas on another 11,000 megawatts.

Shares traded down fractionally in the Monday premarket, at $46.75 in a 52-week range of $41.83 to $51.60. Thomson Reuters had a consensus analyst price target of around $50.10 before this report.

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About the Author Paul Ausick →

Paul Ausick has been writing for a673b.bigscoots-temp.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

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