Infrastructure
With Interest Rates to Remain Low for Years, Buy This Sector for Income and Safety
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Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell all but said it last week, and it’s probably an undeniable truth because the current realities are not going away anytime soon. Interest rates are expected to stay at today’s historically low levels for years. Some think it could be as late as 2024 before the Fed can safely start to raise rates again.
In addition, the possibility of negative real rates is starting to crop up again. In other words, investors wanting to purchase government-issued Treasury debt actually would have to pay an interest charge to own the risk-free securities.
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One sector that rallied big-time a few years back as rates took the initial plunge in 2011 and 2012 was utilities. Scoffed at by many as only good for orphans and widows, the sector’s luster faded as rates reversed in 2014. After turning down some later that year, rates essentially went sideways until last year, when they started to plunge again.
With income investors searching high and low for safe yields, and bank certificates of deposit offering pathetic rates for five years (the best we could find was a 1.50% at Delta Community Credit Union), it makes sense for income-starved investors to look again at the utility sector.
We screened the BofA Securities utility research universe and found four top stocks that come with dependable and safe dividends, as well as the potential for some capital gains. While all four are rated Buy at the firm, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.
This old-school stock offers investors the stability and track record many seek now. Consolidated Edison Inc. (NYSE: ED) offers electric services to approximately 3.5 million customers in New York City and Westchester County; gas to around 1.1 million customers in Manhattan, the Bronx and parts of Queens and Westchester County; and steam to about 1,700 customers in parts of Manhattan.
The company owns 62 area distribution substations and various distribution facilities; 39 transmission substations and 62 area stations; electric generation facilities with an aggregate capacity of 724 megawatts that run on gas and fuel oil; 4,348 miles of mains and 369,791 service lines for natural gas distribution; and one steam-electric generating station and five steam-only generating stations.
The company operates 572 circuit miles of transmission lines; 14 transmission substations; 86,794 in-service line transformers; 3,994 pole miles of overhead distribution lines; and 1,889 miles of underground distribution lines, as well as 1,867 miles of mains and 105,482 service lines for natural gas distribution. In addition, it is involved in the sale and related hedging of electricity to retail customers, and the provision of energy-related products and services to wholesale and retail customers.
Shareholders receive a 4.11% dividend. The BofA Securities price target for the shares is $78, and the Wall Street consensus target is $77.33. Consolidated Edison stock closed Friday’s trading at $73.88 per share.
With the potential for a very cold winter on tap, this company may look to extending gains into 2021. DTE Energy Inc. (NYSE: DTE) is the largest utility in Michigan. Its largest operating units are DTE Electric, an electric utility serving 2.2 million customers in southeastern Michigan, and DTE Gas, a natural gas utility serving 1.3 million customers in the state. DTE Energy also has non-utility energy businesses that focus on power and industrial projects, natural gas midstream and energy trading.
The company’s Gas segment purchases, stores, transports, distributes and sells natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers throughout Michigan, and it sells storage and transportation capacity. This segment has approximately 19,800 miles of distribution mains, 1,305,000 service pipelines and 1,273,000 active meters, as well as approximately 2,000 miles of transmission pipelines.
The company’s Power and Industrial Projects segment offers metallurgical coke, pulverized coal and petroleum coke to the steel, pulp and paper, and other industries, as well as power, steam and chilled water production and wastewater treatment services. It also supplies compressed air to industrial customers.
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Investors in DTE Energy stock receive a very dependable 3.61% dividend. The BofA Securities has a price objective of $122, while the higher posted consensus target price is $128.78. Friday’s close saw shares trading at $112.03 apiece.
With a very strong balance sheet, this company looks poised for a solid finish to 2020. NextEra Energy Inc. (NYSE: NEE) consists of two main business segments: the Florida Power & Light (FPL) regulated utility, and NextEra Energy Resources, a deregulated generator of predominantly wind, natural gas, nuclear and solar powered assets in North America. The company also holds a 65.1% share in the yieldco NextEra Energy Partners.
FPL announced last summer a groundbreaking “30-by-30” plan to install more than 30 million solar panels by 2030 and make the state of Florida a world leader in the production of solar energy. It and NextEra Energy Resources are already the world’s largest producers of renewable energy from the wind and sun. When this plan is completed, FPL expects to be the largest utility owner and operator of solar in America.
Investors receive a very safe and solid 2.02% dividend. The $303 BofA Securities price objective compares with a $289.06 posted consensus figure. NextEra Energy stock closed at $276.92 per share on Friday.
This is another solid defensive play. Sempra Energy (NYSE: SRE) is a natural gas transmission and distribution company headquartered in San Diego. The company’s California Utilities segment distributes gas and electricity to approximately 25 million customers in southern California via South California Gas and San Diego Gas and Electric.
Its Cameron LNG project in Louisiana could restart this month if it is able to receive electricity safely, multiple media outlets reported last week. The terminal was temporarily closed in late August due to Hurricane Laura. Cameron LNG also could see power restored at its U.S. Gulf Coast export facility by September 30.
Shareholders are receiving a solid 3.49% dividend. The BofA Securities price objective is $137. The consensus target is up at $144.88, but Sempra Energy stock was last seen trading at $119.98 a share.
While the days of huge capital gains, like the ones posted seven and eight years ago, for the sector are long over, the days of these top utility stocks paying regular and dependable dividends are not. For frustrated income investors with a small degree of risk tolerance, these top companies will continue to deliver income for years and will pay significantly more than CDs or Treasury debt.
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