Yahoo!’s Sucker Rally

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Terry Semel is back is schmuck-ville. He telegraphed that things were going well at Yahoo!

Over the last three months, Yahoo!’s (YHOO) shares rallied 15% to over $32. After yesterday’s earnings disaster, the stock dropped 8% after hours to $29.48. The price was $28.99 at the beginning of the 90 day period. Yahoo! had given back almost its entire gain.

Much of the rally had to do with a presentation that Yahoo! made at an Advertising Age conference on March 21. "I’m totally all smiles," Semel said about Panama. He restated that Yahoo’s "intention is to close the gap and Panama is doing a great job." Semel must have had a sense at that point that the first quarter would not be all roses.

Semel also sounded upbeat three months ago. Back in January, on the company’s fourth-quarter earnings call, He promised that Yahoo! intended to "outpace the industry" in 2007 on display-ad growth. But on Tuesday, Semel said the company expects merely to keep pace with rivals.

With revenue forecast to be just over $1.2 billion in the current quarter, it is hard to say where the upbeat projections have gone.

Semel took the stock up. Wall St. took the bait. But now expectations have been gutted.

Shame on Semel.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at [email protected]. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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