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Credit Conundrum: Rising Credit As Deleveraging Continues
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The Federal Reserve has released its reading on consumer credit with an increase for July showing an annual growth rate of 6%. What Ben Bernanke keeps talking about is lower household spending and that was the case as revolving credit (credit cards) decreased at an annual rate of 5.25%. Non-revolving credit (auto, personal, and student loans) increased at an annual rate of 11.25%.
The total credit came to $2.4415 trillion, which is running higher than the averages of $2.4019 trillion in the first quarter and higher than the $2.4235 trillion in second quarter. Total credit was up $11.97 billion for July, and Dow Jones had estimates of about $6 billion.
June was up as well, but it was revised to a lower gain. The new June Consumer Credit was up $11.35 billion rather than the $15.53 billion prior reading.
The gain in credit is good to see for economic growth, but the reality is that this trend showing a drop of more than $3.4 billion in credit cards and other short-term borrowings by the consumer just shows more consumer deleveraging. It is still happening.
The full report on consumer credit is here.
JON C. OGG
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