Investing

ISM Data Rocking Bond Yields Higher After Jobs Data (TLT, TBT)

The Institute for Supply Management has issued its reading for January non-manufacturing and the data is strong.  Very strong.  At 56.8, this is the best reading in almost a year.  Dow Jones was only calling for a reading of 53.1.

The business index was 59.5 versus 55.9 in December.  Employment showed the biggest gain to 57.4 from a prior December reading of 49.8 and prices rose only to 63.5 from 62.0 in December.  Even new order picked up to 59.4 from 54.6 in December.

The news this morning, particularly after the stellar jobs numbers, is really hurting longer-dated Treasury prices and driving yields higher.  The Fed Funds Futures are signaling a much quicker rate hike scenario than just a week ago.

The iShares Barclays 20 Year Treasury (NYSE: TLT) tracks the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index and its price is down 2.3% at $116.39. The ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ (NYSE: TBT), which is double inverse the price action (intraday) is up a whopping 4.6% at $19.32 on the day.

JON C. OGG

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