Investing

Is the Thailand Military Coup Already Priced Into Markets?

Thailand is supposed to be a destination for the exotic and for beautiful beaches and great history. Currently, it is under a military coup. The nation’s military chief announced in a national address Thursday that a coup has taken place, and also that a curfew would be in place.

The military had previously imposed martial law ahead of this coup. This is culmination of months of tension — or perhaps years — and has taken place after rival leadership factions did not reach an agreement on how to govern the nation.

From an outsider’s view this seems like just another round of regime changes in Thailand. In recent years it seems to not be stable at all, yet the coups and regime changes have had little effect on foreign interests.

The military chief said in the address that it should be business as usual for the public. All government workers were told to report for work. Another aim to smooth the situation is that security would be provided for foreigners in Thailand.

ALSO READ: Global Conflict Means Billions for Defense Contractors

There are two investment vehicles for investors looking at Thailand. The reactions here have shown that things might be close to priced in. If not, they have already seen serious drops from their highs.

iShares MSCI Thailand Investable Market Index Fund (NYSE: THD) was designed to track the MSCI Thailand Investable Market Index. With the exchange traded fund (ETF) trading down 1.2% at $73.59 in mid-day trading on Thursday, its 52-week range is $61.94 to $92.47. This index measures the performance of stocks that trade in Thailand, and it is a free float adjusted market cap weighted index tracking the Stock Exchange of Thailand.

Thai Fund Inc. (NYSE: TTF) is a closed-end mutual fund tracking Thailand. This fund is actually up a penny at $11.26, against a 52-week trading range of $9.49 to $25.59. The Closed-End Fund Associations website shows that the fund trades at a 12.1% discount to its net asset value and that the fund’s current market cap is $166 million. Before thinking this was a panic earlier in 2014 on its chart, there was the equivalent of $8.14 that was paid out in a dividend, as well as $0.92 paid out last September. That would mean that the fund’s real 52-week trading range is $9.49 to $16.26 or so.

As a reminder, historically coups in Thailand have not been the same as coups elsewhere in the world.

We have asked for portfolio managers to comment on this matter and have yet to hear a response. This report will be updated if a response comes.

It’s Your Money, Your Future—Own It (sponsor)

Retirement can be daunting, but it doesn’t need to be.

Imagine having an expert in your corner to help you with your financial goals. Someone to help you determine if you’re ahead, behind, or right on track. With SmartAsset, that’s not just a dream—it’s reality. This free tool connects you with pre-screened financial advisors who work in your best interests. It’s quick, it’s easy, so take the leap today and start planning smarter!

Don’t waste another minute; get started right here and help your retirement dreams become a retirement reality.

Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.

AI Portfolio

Discover Our Top AI Stocks

Our expert who first called NVIDIA in 2009 is predicting 2025 will see a historic AI breakthrough.

You can follow him investing $500,000 of his own money on our top AI stocks for free.