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Earnings Previews: Amazon, Apple, Starbucks, US Steel
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More than 100 companies in our watch list reported earnings after markets closed Monday and before they opened again on Tuesday. Of those, 37 missed consensus earnings estimates and 25 missed revenue estimates.
After markets close Wednesday, we’ll get reports from three companies: eBay, Ford and Teladoc. On Thursday morning, reports are due from four more companies we follow: Caterpillar, Comcast, Linde and Sirius XM.
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Here’s a look at four companies scheduled to report results after markets close Thursday.
In mid-July, Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) posted a new 12-month and all-time high share price. For the entire 12-month period, Amazon stock has risen by a modest 5.8%. Since mid-July, the stock has dropped by 9.5%. While the e-commerce giant is expected to post solid revenue growth in the third quarter, rising costs for labor are expected to weigh on operating profits. The COVID-19 pandemic boosted the company’s revenue last year. This year is following a different narrative.
When 49 of 49 analysts give a stock a Buy or Strong Buy rating, that stock may be a good one. That’s what analysts think of Amazon stock. At a recent price of around $3,397, the upside potential based on a median price target of $4,150 is 22.5%. At the high price target of $5,000, the upside potential is 47%.
Analysts are looking for third-quarter revenue of $111.66 billion, which would be down about 1.3% sequentially but up 16% year over year. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be $8.96, down nearly 41% sequentially and down 27.6% year over year. For the full fiscal year, EPS are expected to be $52.67, up nearly 26%, on sales of $475.63 billion, which would be 23% higher.
Amazon stock trades at 63.0 times expected 2021 EPS, 49.7 times estimated 2022 earnings and 35.8 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $2,881.00 to $3,773.08. Amazon does not pay a dividend.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), with its market cap of $2.48 trillion, is the most valuable publicly traded company in the United States. Amazon is the fourth-most valuable, trailing Apply by about $720 billion. Not counting Apple or Amazon, there are only four other companies worth more than that $720 billion difference: Microsoft, Alphabet, Facebook and Tesla.
Is it any surprise, then, that governments around the world are seeking to rein in the power of the tech giants? And Apple gets a lot of attention because it is the biggest. That attention may be Apple’s strongest headwind–that, and the same supply chain issues that plague every other maker of a product that has a physical manifestation. Still, Apple stock is up nearly 31% over the past 12 months, although it’s down more than 4.5% since early last month.
While not as bullish on Apple as they are on Amazon, of 43 analysts covering Apple, 33 give the stock a rating of Buy or Strong Buy. Another eight rate the shares at Hold. At a price of around $149.25, the upside potential based on a median price target of $170 is nearly 14%. At the high price target of $198, the upside potential is nearly 33%.
Analysts expect Apple to report fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $84.94 billion, up 4.3% sequentially and more than 31% year over year. Adjusted EPS are expected to come in at $1.24, down nearly 5% sequentially and up almost 70% year over year. For the fiscal year that ended in September, analysts expect the company to report EPS of $5.58, up 70%, on sales of $366.53 billion, up more than 33%.
Apple stock trades at 26.6 times expected 2021 EPS, 26.4 times estimated 2022 earnings and 25.0 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $107.32 to $157.26. Apple pays an annual dividend of $0.88 (yield of 0.59%).
In March of last year, shares of Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ: SBUX) traded down about 35% for the first several weeks of 2020. The stock has recovered virtually all that loss and trades up about 29% over the past 12 months. From the March 2020 trough, the share price has more than doubled.
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More people going shop or to work has helped boost the company’s business this year, and as more and more U.S. workers return to their offices, Starbucks should see an increase in sales. The resurgence of the coronavirus slowed the Starbucks recovery, but that’s just temporary.
Analyst sentiment is mixed on the stock, with 15 putting a Hold rating on the stock and an equal number assigning a Buy rating. The other five ratings are all Strong Buy. At the price of around $113.50, the upside potential based on a median price target of $130 is 14.5%. At the high price target of $145, the upside potential is 27.8%.
For the company’s fourth quarter of fiscal 2021, analysts are expecting revenue of $8.22 billion, up 9.7% sequentially and by nearly 33% year over year. Adjusted EPS are pegged at $1.00, down 1.4% sequentially and up 96% year over year. For the full fiscal year, EPS are forecast at $3.22, up 176%, on sales of $29.13 billion, up 24%.
Starbucks stock trades at 35.6 times expected 2021 EPS, 30.9 times estimated 2022 earnings and 27.3 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $85.45 to $126.32. Starbucks pays an annual dividend of $1.96 (yield of 1.71%).
Steel prices have dropped sharply over the past couple of weeks, and steel rebar futures have fallen from around $923 per metric ton to around $758. Other forms of steel have seen similar declines. In mid-August, shares of United States Steel Corp. (NYSE: X) traded more than 200% above their level at this time last year. The stock is still up about 150% for the past 12 months, and a recent downgrade to Sell didn’t cause much lasting damage. The stock is up about 12% for the month of October.
U.S. Steel is not covered by many analysts. Of 11 brokerages surveyed, only three rate the stock at Buy or Strong Buy. That’s one less than with a Sell or Strong Sell rating. Four analysts rated the stock at Hold. At a price of around $23.70, the upside potential to a median price target of $26 is 9.7%. At the high target of $50, the upside potential is 111%.
Third-quarter revenue is expected to come in at $5.75 billion, up 14.5% sequentially and 146% year over year. Adjusted EPS are forecast at $4.93, up 46% sequentially and far better than the year-ago quarterly loss of $1.21. For fiscal 2021, analysts expect U.S. Steel to post EPS of $14.58, compared to the year-ago loss of $4.67, on sales of $20 billion, up 105%.
U.S. Steel stock trades at 1.7 times expected 2021 EPS, 3.7 times estimated 2022 earnings and 7.6 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $8.96 to $30.57, and the company pays an annual dividend of $0.04 (yield of 0.16%).
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