Investing

Earnings Previews: Lyft, Match, Starbucks

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The normally quiet weekend was livened up this past Saturday with Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholders’ meeting and quarterly report. Warren Buffett was not replaced as the company’s board chair. The company’s class B stock earnings per share (EPS) fell by more than 50% year over year. Operating earnings were essentially flat, and the results were skewed by differences in unrealized gains and losses. Berkshire repurchased $3.2 billion in classes A and B common stock during the quarter. Shares were up about 1.3% in mid-morning trading Monday.

Pipeline operator Enterprise Products traded down about 1.1% early Monday after posting first-quarter results that beat both profit and revenue estimates. Revenue rose 24.3% year over year. Also, ON Semiconductor beat both top-line and bottom-line estimates. Shares traded up about 1.9%.

Before markets opened on Friday, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Phillips 66 and Weyerhaeuser reported quarterly results. Every market sector closed lower Friday, with energy and materials posting the smallest losses.

Chevron missed on both profit and revenues, and the shares closed down by about 3.2% on Friday. Exxon Mobil missed on EPS but handily beat on revenues. The stock closed down 2.2% on Friday.

Refiner Phillips 66 beat the EPS estimate and restarted its $2.5 billion stock buyback program. The stock closed Friday down about 0.5%.

Lumber giant Weyerhaeuser beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines. Shares closed down about 1.6% on Friday.

After markets close Monday, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, Mosaic and Williams will report quarterly results. Before markets open on Tuesday, BP, Marathon Petroleum, Paramount Global and Pfizer will release quarterly earnings reports. We also have previewed three companies set to report results after Tuesday’s closing bell: Airbnb, AMD and Livent.

Here is a look at three more companies also reporting earnings after markets close on Tuesday.

Lyft

Ride-hailing operator Lyft Inc. (NASDAQ: LYFT) has seen its share price plummet by about 49% over the past 12 months. The stock’s 52-week high was posted early last July. Last week the company restated 2021 financial statements. Instead of an incorrectly stated loss of $1.01 billion ($3.02 per share), the restated loss is $1.06 billion ($3.17 per share). The erroneous data did not affect the financial outlook Lyft gave in February. Shares fell nearly 3% following the Friday report.


The 40 analysts covering the stock come down on Lyft’s side, with 24 having a Buy or Strong Buy rating and another 14 rating the stock at Hold. At a recent price of around $32.60 a share, the upside potential based on a median price target of $55 is 68.7%. At the high target of $78, the upside potential is 139%.

First-quarter revenue is forecast at $845.57 million, which would be down 12.8% sequentially but up almost 39% year over year. The company is expected to report a loss per share of $0.07, sharply better than the loss of $0.35 per share in the year-ago quarter. For the full 2022 fiscal year, analysts are currently estimating EPS of $0.61, solidly better than last year’s loss per share of $0.25, on sales of $4.24 billion, up 32.3%.

Lyft stock trades at 53.5 times expected 2022 EPS, 20.8 times estimated 2023 EPS of $1.57 and 12.0 times estimated 2024 earnings of $2.72 per share. The stock’s 52-week range is $31.52 to $63.07. Lyft does not pay a dividend. Total shareholder return for the past 12 months was negative 42.9%.

Match

Online dating company Match Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MTCH) has seen its share price plummet by nearly 50% over the past 12 months. The stock’s 52-week high was posted in late October, and the stock is down 55% since. Shares got a bit of a jolt last week following speculation that the company and its dating sites (Tinder, OkCupid and OurTime, among them) could be picked up by Meta Platforms. Dating in the metaverse could be a real winner. Stranger things have happened.

Of 24 analysts covering the stock, 21 have a Buy or Strong Buy rating and the rest have Hold ratings. At a share price of around $78.90, the upside potential based on a median price target of $144 is 82.5%. At the high target of $175, the upside potential is nearly 122%.

First-quarter revenue is forecast at $795.03 million, down 1.4% sequentially but 19.1% higher year over year. The company is expected to report EPS of $0.49, sharply better than the loss of $0.47 per share in the prior quarter and down 35% year over year. For the full 2022 fiscal year, analysts are currently estimating EPS of $2.63, up 76.8%, on sales of $3.53 billion, up 18.3%.

Match Group stock trades at 30.3 times expected 2022 EPS, 23.9 times estimated 2023 EPS of $3.34 and 20.1 times estimated 2024 earnings of $3.97 per share. The stock’s 52-week range is $76.26 to $182.00. Lyft does not pay a dividend. Total shareholder return for the past 12 months was negative 48.7%.

Starbucks

Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ: SBUX) posted a 52-week high in late July. Since then, the shares have dropped by about 40%. For the past 12 months, shares are down 33.6%. Founder and former CEO Howard Schultz returned in April as the company’s interim CEO following Kevin Johnson’s retirement. Schultz canceled plans for a $20 billion share buyback program, saying that using the money to invest in employees and stores would create more long-term value for shareholders. That does not include opening his arms to unionization efforts. The stock put up a 52-week low last Friday.

Analyst sentiment is mixed on the stock, with 18 of 35 putting a Hold rating on the stock and 17 having a Buy or Strong Buy rating. At a share price of around $74.60, the upside potential based on a median price target of $105 is 40.8%. At the high price target of $136, the upside potential is 82.3%.

For the company’s second quarter of fiscal 2022, analysts are expecting revenue of $8.05 billion, down 5.5% sequentially and up by 19.3% year over year. Adjusted EPS are pegged at $0.72, down 17.3% sequentially and up 11% year over year. For the 2022 fiscal year, current estimates call for EPS of $3.24, flat with 2021 EPS, on sales of $32.63 billion, up 12.3%.


Starbucks stock trades at a multiple of 23.1 times expected 2022 EPS, 20.0 times estimated 2023 earnings of $3.74 and 17.6 times estimated 2024 earnings of $4.25 per share. The stock’s 52-week range is $74.48 to $126.32. Starbucks pays an annual dividend of $1.96 (yield of 2.63%). Total shareholder return for the past year was negative 33.6%.

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