3 Reasons to Take a Closer Look at PayPal Stock (PYPL)

Investing

Published: November 2, 2023 10:04 am

Last Updated: November 2, 2023 11:36 am

Digital payments processor PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings after U.S. markets closed on Wednesday. PayPal stock traded up about 4% in after-hours trading.

After a good night’s sleep, investors pushed PayPal stock up by around 7% in premarket trading Thursday morning.

Third-quarter results

For its third quarter of fiscal 2023, PayPal reported revenue and earnings above consensus estimates.

	Estimate	Actual	Surprise
Revenue ($B)	7.39	7.40	0.1%
Adj EPS	1.23	1.30	5.7%

Compared to the third quarter of last year, revenue was up 8.1% and EPS was up 20.4%.

The headline numbers are good, but looking beyond the headlines reveals at least three good reasons to consider adding PayPal stock to a portfolio.

Revenue growth

The following chart from VizualStocks compares revenue growth among PayPal, Visa Inc. (NYSE: V), and Mastercard Inc. (NYSE: MA).

PayPal’s revenue growth has kept pace with that of the payment industry’s two giants.
But PayPal’s market cap lags, by a lot:

PayPal market cap: $56.73 billion (at Wednesday’s closing price)
Mastercard market cap: $354.31 billion
Visa market cap: $493.59 billion

Over the past 12 months, PayPal revenue totals $28.56 billion to Mastercard’s $9.4 billion and Visa’s $32.65 billion.

Free cash flow yield

This metric is a good measure of the fundamental strength of a company’s performance. It is FCF per share divided by the current share price. As of last night’s close, here’s how PayPal stock stacks up:

PayPal: 6.4%
Mastercard: 2.96%
Visa: 4.1%

Because PayPal does not pay a dividend, the FCF yield depends primarily on share buybacks. When Visa reported quarterly results last week, it announced a new $25 billion buyback program. In fiscal 2022, PayPal repurchased $4.9 billion in stock, Visa repurchased $11.7 billion in stock, and Mastercard bought back $8.75 billion in stock.

Profitability

PayPal’s net income for the past 12 months is $4.1 billion, compared to $17.27 billion for Visa and $19.93 billion at Mastercard. PayPal’s implied market cap should fall between $106 and $120 billion.

Put simply, PayPal gets no investor love.

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