5 Reasons to Avoid Procter & Gamble Stock (PG) Without Hesitation

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By Lee Jackson Updated Published
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5 Reasons to Avoid Procter & Gamble Stock (PG) Without Hesitation

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Founded in 1837 by William Proctor and James Gamble. The company grew fast during the 19th century, selling candles and soap, and by 1880, it began producing a new product with a high-quality yet inexpensive soap called Ivory.

By 1859, the company posted $1 million in sales

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After leasing a building in Cincinnati in 1854, product sales continued to grow as the firm hit its first significant financial milestone five years later.

The 20th century saw explosive product growth for the consumer staples giant

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From diapers called Pampers to VapoRub to innovative drying products like Bounce, the massive list of products the company makes and sells worldwide continues to grow today.

While The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG | PG Price Prediction) remains one of the biggest consumer products companies in the world and possibly one of the safest stocks to own for nervous investors, we found five reasons inventors may want to tap the brakes on buying shares now without hesitation.

Procter & Gamble stock is expensive

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Trading at a rich 24 times earnings, the shares are likely close to fully valued at that level. This is even more important given that earnings growth remains in the single digits.

Higher input prices could hurt the bottom line

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With growing expenses linked to higher commodity prices, increasing material and packaging costs, and foreign currency exchange issues, many analysts feel that this fiscal year could see slower earnings-per-share growth.

If the economy hits a recession, consumers may use cheaper products

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The great bulk of the products the company sells also come in cheaper generic brands, and should the economy hit a downturn in 2024, there’s a good chance that middle and lower-income households could opt for more affordable brands that the mega-retailers like Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) and Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) offer under their private label names.

The dividend is good but not great

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Even though consumer staples are a very conservative sector, Procter & Gamble currently only pays shareholders a 2.59% dividend. Given the risk factors in any equity, conservative investors can do far better in insured money markets that pay as much as 4.6% monthly.

The company has been accused of alleged environmental issues

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According to environmental activists who rallied outside the company’s headquarters back in the fall, the company sources ingredients for its products from suppliers, contributing to deforestation. Activists claim that the company’s failure to address the unsustainable sourcing of wood pulp and palm oil creates long-term damage.

At the margin, Procter & Gamble is one of the safest mega-cap consumer staples companies investors can own. However, trading at 24 times earnings and with Wall Street expecting single-digit earnings growth in 2024, the stock is expensive when other insured safe investments pay higher dividends. While we would suggest holding shares if you have them, we don’t recommend buying the stock now.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

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