Investing

Avalanche (AVAX) 2030 Price Prediction: Bull, Bear, and Base Forecasts

Sam Daodu

Published: February 28, 2024 1:52 pm

Last Updated: March 7, 2024 1:54 pm

Avalanche (AVAX) is one of the few cryptos that have seen good price movements in the last five years. Since listing on crypto exchanges at the end of Q3 2020, the price movement has left savvy investors curious about what the next decade holds for this token. 

While no one can predict with absolute certainty how the price of any token will move for years to come, and we wouldn’t advise you to follow any prediction you see on any website alone, this article will walk you through our base, bull, and bear Avalanche predictions to give you the best understanding of how we arrived at our estimates.

Avalanche’s (AVAX) Price Performance Since 2020

From 2021, Avalanche has surged 829.65%. This shows the bullish potential of the token. To better understand its price movement over the years, let’s look at this table:

The best year so far for Avalanche was in 2021, when AVAX went up by 3,294.07%, hitting $144.96 from a low of $4.06. The following year was the worst for the token, and the price dropped from over $100 to $10.09. Statistics show Avalanche’s price is the best in Q1, hitting about 281% in gains. It is usually worse in Q2, with a loss reaching -55.77%.

Ranking 10th on CoinMarketCap, Avalanche saw 14 green days in February, with a price volatility of 6.46%. It has a 24-hour trading volume of $699,713,225 and a live market cap of $16,175,181,296. Also, there are a total of 377,248,204 AVAX in its current circulating supply out of a total of 720,000,000 AVAX.

4 Key Drivers of Avalanche’s (AVAX) Token Performance Through 2030

1. Real-World Assets (RWAs): The Avalanche development team has a roadmap to success, visible with the February 2024 partnership with CitiBank, one of the biggest banks in the United States. With a completed Proof-of-Concept (PoC) plan, the bank tokenized Traditional Finance Assets (TradFi) using Avalanche’s evergreen subnet, “Spruce.” This move offers meaningful improvement to financial services and unlocks a good price movement for Avalanche from 2024-2030 and beyond. 
2. GameFi Growth: In November 2024, GameFi revival in the Avalanche network caused a surge. Avalanche gaming subnets like DEXALOT processed more transactions, which led to more burnt tokens. With more gaming subnets coming in between 2024-2030, Avalanche will experience more transactions again, triggering a bullish momentum for AVAX and driving the token’s price to historic highs before 2030. 
3. Evolving Ecosystem: Avalanche is taking its ecosystem of Decentralized Finance (DeFi), decentralized applications (DApps), and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) to another level. This is due to Avalanche’s reputation as a platform for low fees, scalability, and fast transactions. The DeFi and NFT market has skyrocketed over the years and it needs no fortune-teller to know that this trend will continue. As the ecosystem grows, and more users embrace DeFi, DApps, and NFTs, the demand for Avalanche’s tokens will skyrocket, leading to positive price movements for AVAX. 
4. Blockchain Bridge: Avalanche’s status as a bridge to other blockchain networks can be the driver for its bullish sentiments to 2030. Its bridging features support Bitcoin and Ethereum, the two largest cryptocurrencies. The Avalanche bridge protocol allows users to transfer crypto assets and the fact that it supports non-EVM blockchains like Solana improves its acceptability, leading to bullish runs for the token through 2030.

Avalanche (AVAX) 2030 Price Prediction: Bull, Bear, and Base

According to our models, Avalanche’s price in 2030 should be $620 in the bull case, $518 in the base case, and $370 in the bear case. These forecasts are based on a number of variables, including market movements, platform advancements, and market volatility, as well as particular scenario research. 

Bull Case for Avalanche’s Crypto Price

• Scalability: Avalanche is popular for its scalability, boosting better transaction speed than the Ethereum framework. Avalanche can ride the wave of this positive publicity, which will improve its price. Our bull case assumes that, with more adoption and demand from developers and crypto users worldwide, AVAX could beat its 52.40% circulating supply, driving its bullish sentiments. 
• Partnerships and Innovations: Avalanche makes smart moves by bringing in partnerships and innovations, which will improve the bullish sentiments of the token. With innovations such as Pangolin index expansion, Bitcoin Bridge, and partnerships with Gunzilla, Avalanche’s bullish momentum remains high. Avalanche’s recent collaboration with Shopify, Alibaba, and Amazon’s AWS leads to our bull case assumptions that it can best its 825.23% surge in the last five years.
• DeFi and DApps: Avalanche is a common name for Decentralization Finance (DeFi) Applications and decentralized applications (DApps). These sectors are gaining global acceptance, which will further drive the price of AVAX. Developers can design complex decentralized apps (DApps) on the Avalanche network thanks to its smart contract features. Any blockchain network’s capacity to produce DApps is essential to its expansion and prosperity, and these AVAX DApp features may eventually result in more demand for the cryptocurrency. With the DeFi market projected to reach over twenty-six million dollars in 2024 and over thirty-seven million dollars by 2028, our bull case model assumes growth for the Avalanche market as more users join the DeFi and DApps market, leading to better financials than 2023’s 158% profit.

Our bullish scenario for AVAX price prediction for 2030 anticipates a monthly growth of 19-20% for the token. While this may fluctuate due to market volatility, Avalanche should still enjoy positive price movements due to signing events like the Bitcoin Halving and other strategic growth plans the development team has in store for investors. 

With Avalanche seeing many green days, its price should hover around the $620 mark by 2030.

Base Case for Avalanche’s Crypto Price

Our base case predictions rely on the analysis and prediction of two top crypto exchanges: Changelly and CoinMarketCap.

Like any other token, predicting the base case for Avalanche is tricky. However, considering several factors, like expert predictions, market movements, and token history, Avalanche base price predictions may happen if it succumbs to competition pressure or fails to adapt to the volatile crypto market. 

While the effect of a base case may not be damning on the token’s early backers, it may not favor those who join the train late. So, in this base case scenario, we see Avalanche hovering over the $518 mark.

Bear Case for Avalanche’s Crypto Price

Lastly, our bear case analysis for Avalanche revolves around several factors, like:

• Loss of Investor Confidence: Avalanche may become bearish if it succumbs to too much negative news or events. A recent example is the event of February 23rd, 2024, where the Avalanche network experienced an outage, which affected its price. Similar events happened on February 1, 2024, and in March 2023. If this persists, our bear case model assumes that Avalanche will lose investors’ confidence, significantly dropping prices and trading volume. 
• Crackdowns on DeFi: with the DeFi market valued at over 50 billion, crackdowns are the fears of the Avalanche team. If the market continues to boom, Avalanche’s price should be bullish; however, with crackdowns like the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) action against three DeFi platforms on September 7th, 2023, this may not be the case. The DeFi market is seeing more regulatory enforcement, which can stifle the growth of the market and Avalanche, respectively. Our bear case model assumes that if these regulations succeed and the DeFi market no longer enjoys wide adoption, this will decrease its value and kickstart a bearish trend for Avalanche. 
• Scalability concerns: Avalanche takes pride in its transaction speed, besting Ethereum. However, there are concerns about its scalability. Some analysts argue that the platform’s scalability features may not suit many users or transactions. While this remains to be seen, it can impact the bullish sentiments of Avalanche, triggering a bearish trend. 

Our bearish analysis sets Avalanche’s price prediction at $370 by 2030.