Best Stock to Buy Now: Nvidia vs. Super Micro Computer

Investing

Published: March 17, 2024 10:15 am

For years, 24/7 Wall St. has covered stocks under $10. While not all were home runs, many savvy investors with foresight and patience made millions on stocks that traded in the single digits.

Two companies, which traded under $10 for years, have become the stock market’s darlings and have led the massive rally over the last year, especially since October. For low-price stock skeptics, many of the biggest companies in the world, including Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN), and Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX), all traded in single digits at one time.

So, we decided to compare two stocks that have been on fire over the last six months. Both have had substantial parabolic moves higher. So, in the Thunderdome, it’s Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) versus Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI).

Nvidia emerged as an AI chip giant

The company, which traded under $10 per share from 2000 to 2015, pioneered many technologies on which AI applications depend.

Nvidia graphic cards got the party started

Nvidia was founded in 1993, but it didn’t release its first graphics product until 1995.

The Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs) helped the gaming industry explode and were simultaneously the go-to chips for multiple tasks. While Nvidia is still a massive player in the gaming world, the AI explosion changed everything.

Nvidia’s Compute & Networking segment explodes higher

Nvidia’s business model is organized into the Graphics and Compute & Networking segments.

This silo provides:

Data Center platforms and systems for AI, HPC, and accelerated computing
Mellanox networking and interconnect solutions; automotive AI Cockpit, autonomous driving development agreements
Autonomous vehicle solutions
cryptocurrency mining processors
Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms
NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software

Nvidia stock moved higher starting in October of 2023

Nvidia stock keeps increasing as investors’ enthusiasm for the AI story grows.

The low close in October of last year was a stunning $407.80, and since then, the stock has skyrocketed an incredible $127%, closing at an all-time high of $926.69 on March 6, 2024.

Don’t forget about a possible stock split

Given Nvidia’s split history and current price, a 2024 summer split is likely.

In the summer of 2021, the company conducted a 4-for-one stock split. Many feel that another stock split is right around the corner, as the shares are trading back near the $900 level. The same is true for Super Micro Computer, which has never split it’s U.S. shares.

Wall Street is all in on NVIDIA for now

While some analysts tap the brakes, excitement about Nvidia has reached a fever pitch as its valuation soars.

As is always the case across Wall Street, sell-side analysts are decidedly bullish on a stock when a red-hot stock leads the pack. Of the 37 analysts covering the company, 1 has a Strong Buy rating, 33 have a Buy rating, 2 have a Hold rating, and just 1 has a Sell rating.

The sky is the limit for Nvidia

Data Center demand looks to be the driving force for the company for years to come.

Nvidia is the clear market leader for chips in AI research and related products. Tech giants such as Alphabet and Meta are well-invested in AI. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated that his company’s computing infrastructure will include a stunning 350,000 H100 cards by the end of this year.

Super Micro Computer shares were also cheap for years

Based in San Jose, California, the company has manufacturing operations in Silicon Valley, the Netherlands, and its Science and Technology Park in Taiwan.

The stock, which had exploded to over $1200 per share before pulling back recently in a big way, traded below $10 from 2007 to 2010 and then below $20 from 2010 to 2109. It started the massive parabolic move higher in the summer of 2022 and has never looked back.

Super Micro Computer is a giant in China

While based in California, the company has a gigantic presence in mainland China.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is one of the world’s leading foundries and is the frontrunner in manufacturing capability, manufacturing scale, and comprehensive service in the Chinese Mainland.

China is making advanced chips

Super Micro is a leading supplier of AI-optimized servers and rack solutions for data centers.

While U.S. sanctions have been put into place regarding advanced semiconductors, Super Micro Computer has continued making them. This could turn out to be a big negative in the future.

Just who owns Super Micro Computer?

Datang’s business areas include high-capacity digital switching, optical networking, and more.

While many shareholders own the stock China state-owned civilian and military telecommunications equipment provider Datang Telecom Group and the China Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund are significant shareholders of the company. Notable customers include Huawei, Qualcomm, Broadcom, and Texas Instruments. Washington, D.C., likely does not view the Chinese owners favorably.

And we have a winner…

Nvidia wins the race for now, but both stocks could be headed much higher.

Based on the comparison, the race is very close, but Nvidia’s vast product line gives it the edge over Super Micro Computer. While Wall Street favors both stocks and loves their data center exposure, Nvidia is the chosen leader, with far less downside potential. Both have made huge moves higher over the last six months and have retreated significantly over the previous month.

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