Investing
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030
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SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) made its public debut on June 1, 2021, through a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), Social Capital Hedsophia Holding Corp. V, led by Chamath Palihapitiya. Before the merger, the company was originally known as Social Finance, which started as a student loan financing firm before expanding into loans, and mortgage products among other finance products.
After the SPAC acquisition, SoFi was equipped with substantial capital to enhance its technology stack to better scale its 2020 acquisition of Galileo. The Galileo platform was developed to deploy a wide range of financial services quickly, giving SoFi the tools to take numerous financial products to a mass market.
SoFi IPO’d at $10 per share and quickly jumped 150%, but the stock has been lackluster since, now trading at $15.63 per share, down 39.37%.
However, investors only care about what happens from this point on, particularly over the next 1, 3, and 5 years and beyond. Let’s crunch the numbers and give you our best guess on SoFi’s future share price. No one has a crystal ball and even the Wall Street “experts” are often wrong more than they are right in predicting future stock prices. But we give you our revenue and earnings projections as our peer-to-peer valuation.
12/20/2024
Morgan Stanley has raised SoFi’s price target from $7.50 to $13 while maintaining an “Underweight” rating. The firm expects 2024 to be a year of stabilization as delinquency rates slow. Looking ahead to 2025, Morgan Stanley expects consumer credit to remain on solid footing due to easing inflation, positive real wage growth, stable-to-lwer interest rates, and rational lending standards.
12/18/2024
SoFi’s stock experienced a 5.9% downturn today as the Federal Reserve signaled a potential slowdown in interest rate cuts.
12/16/2024
SoFi’s stock price reached a new 52-week high today, trading up to $16.84. Over 10 million shares were traded, indicating significant investor interest.
12/13/2024
SoFi Bank has been selected as the sponsor bank for Mesh Payments, a leader in global travel and expense management. Galileo Financial Technologies, which is also owned by SoFi, will serve as its long-term payments processor.
12/12/2024
Sofi’s stock is experiencing bullish option activity today. The trading volume of 121,678 calls is 1.2 times the expected volume and the increase in implied volatility to 65.92% suggests higher market expectations for major price movement
12/11/2024
Sofi’s stock closed yesterday’s trading session with a 0.9% increase. The stock traded within a narrow range, with trading volume much lower than average.
12/9/2024
SoFi’s stocks declined today following Bank of America’s recent downgrade. Bank of America expressed concerns about the stock’s valuation, which has surged 210% in the past three months, partially due to the U.S. presidential results.
12/6/2024
SoFi’s shares increased 0.4% today, trading as high as $15.81.
12/5/2024
SoFi recently introduced new options contracts for January 2025. These options offer potential opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on price movements of SoFi stock.
12/3/2024
SoFi experienced a slight decline of 0.4% during mid-day trading today, dipping to a low of $15.83.
Here’s a table summarizing performance in share price, revenue, and profits (net income) from IPO.
Share Price | Revenue | Net Income | |
2021 | $12.50 | $977.3 | ($483.9) |
2022 | $15.81 | $1,519.2 | ($320.4) |
2023 | $4.62 | $2,067.8 | ($300.7) |
2024 LTM | $8.22 | $2,343.5 | ($113.3) |
*Revenue and Net Income in millions
In the last 4 years, SoFi has more than doubled revenue but that top-line growth also carried a jump in total operating costs, particularly the $720 million in sales and marketing expense in 2023. However, the increases in operating costs are money well spent with in-house technology improvements and member-generating marketing spending.
SoFi is close to hitting an inflection point in profitability and has done a stellar job of expanding revenue and improving earnings per share (EPS).
As SoFi’s revenue grows, it becomes more profitable, meaning its costs per customer decrease. This scalability is important because it indicates that as the company grows, it will become even more profitable. Given that the industry is growing and SoFi is outperforming its peers, there’s strong optimism that SoFi’s earnings per share will continue to rise.
The Wall Street consensus 1-year price target for SoFi Technologies is $9.00, which is a -42.42% downside over today’s stock price. Of the 15 analysts covering the stock, the stock is a consensus “Hold” with a 2.88 rating. (1 being a “Strong Buy” and 5 a “Strong Sell”).
Year | Est. Revenue ($B) | Est. Net Income ($B) | Est. EPS Normalized | Price to Sales Multiple | Est. Market Cap ($B) |
2024 | $2.47 | $0.164 | $0.08 | 3.5 | $8.64 |
2025 | $2.84 | $0.32 | $0.21 | 3.5 | $9.94 |
2026 | $3.45 | $0.584 | $0.43 | 3.5 | $12.08 |
2027 | $3.79 | $0.707 | $0.62 | 3.5 | $13.27 |
2028 | $4.33 | $0.902 | $0.83 | 3.5 | $15.16 |
2029 | $4.84 | $1.096 | $1.02 | 3.5 | $16.94 |
2030 | $5.34 | $1.279 | $1.10 | 3.5 | $18.69 |
24/7 Wall Street compared other fintech/ lenders when deciding on our price-to-sales valuation of 3.5 times for the entire time frame of our analysis. Included in the analysis were Block (NYSE:SQ), PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL), Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ: UPST), LendingClub (NYSE: LC), and Affirm (NASDAQ: AFRM) which gives us a blending valuation of around 3.3 times sales.
We expect to see revenue growth of 15.3% and EPS of $0.21 for the year. We expect the stock to still trade at a similar multiple next year, putting our estimate for the stock price for SoFi at $9.33 in 2025, which is -40.31% lower than the stock is trading today.
Going into 2026, we estimate the price to be $11.35, with revenue growth coming in at 14.2% year-over-year. With an EPS of $0.43, this would represent a -27.38% loss under today’s share price of $15.24.
Heading into 2027, we expect the stock price increase not to be as pronounced, with earnings estimates of $0.62 per share. The stock price target for the year is $12.46. That is a 9.81% increase from the previous year, but still down -20.28% from today’s stock price.
When predicting more than 3 years out, we expect SoFi to remain growing its top line at 12% and be more efficient, with an EPS of $0.83 suggesting a stock price estimate at $14.23 or a loss of -8.96% under the current stock price.
We expect SoFi to continue its growth and generate $1.02 per share of earnings. With a price-to-earnings multiple of 15, the stock price in 2029 is estimated at $15.9, or a gain of 1.73% over today’s price.
We estimate SoFi’s stock price to be $17.56 per share with a 10% year-over-year revenue growth. Our estimated stock price will be 12.35% higher than the current stock price of $15.63.
Year | Price Target | % Change From Current Price |
2024 | $8.11 | Upside of -48.11% |
2025 | $9.33 | Upside of -40.31% |
2026 | $11.35 | Upside of -27.38% |
2027 | $12.46 | Upside of -20.28% |
2028 | $14.23 | Upside of -8.96% |
2029 | $15.90 | Upside of 1.73% |
2030 | $17.56 | Upside of 12.35% |
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