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Nasdaq Composite Today: TSM Leads Another AI Stock Frenzy (TSM, NVDA, AVGO)

October 17 Market Update
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Nasdaq Upgrades and Downgrades

10:33 am

Just after 10:30 a.m. ET markets are still in the positive.

  • Nasdaq-100: Up 81.40 (+.45%)
  • S&P 500: Up 19.22 (.33%)
  • Dow Jones: Up 106.69 (.25%)

The market news is still being dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor’s earnings release and optimistic outlook on chip demand.

Let’s look at the Nasdaq upgrades and downgrades for the day.

Upgrades

  • Illumina (ILMN)- Upgraded by HSBC Securities from a Hold to Buy
  • Enphase Energy (ENPH)- Upgraded by Guggenheim from Sell to Neutral

Downgrades

  • Fortinet (FTNT)- Downgraded by Mizuho from Neutral to Underperform
  • Qiagen (QGEN)- Downgraded by HSBC Securities from Buy to Hold
  • SolarEdge (SEDG)- Downgraded by Guggenheim from Neutral to Sell
  • Uber (UBER)- Downgraded by Daiwa Securities from Outperform to Neutral

 

 

Markets Open In the Green

9:33 am
  • Author: Eric Bleeker

At 9:30 a.m. ET, the broad markets opened in the green.

  • Nasdaq-100: Up 94.15 (+.53%)
  • S&P 500: Up 23.04(.37%)
  • Dow Jones: Up 140.74 (.33%)

Tech stocks are leading the morning charge as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) updated its sales forecast from mid 20% rise to 30%. Investors are more optimistic afterASML Holdings (ASML) sour outlook earlier in the week.

Stocks pulling the Nasdaq higher this morning:

  • NVIDIA (NVDA): Up 2.86%
  • Broadcom (AVGO): Up 3.13
  • Microsoft (MSFT): Up 1.22

Stocks pulling the Nasdaq lower:

  • CSX Corp. (CSX): Down 4.34%
  • PDD Holdings (PDD): Down 2.43%
  • Netflix (NFLX): Down .47%

 

Gold Prices in Record Territory

8:57 am
  • Author: Eric Bleeker

The price of gold is once again in record territory, moving above $2,700 per ounce despite the U.S. dollar strengthening by 3%. While these assets typically move in opposite directions, safe-haven investors likely remain uncertain about whether inflation risks will stay under control.

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Economic Data Beats Expectations

8:39 am

September retail sales showed a monthly increase of .4% versus expectations of .3%. Initial jobless claims were 241,000, a reduction of 19,000 from the prior week.

Shortly after the release of this economic data Nasdaq futures are now up .90% while S&P futures are up .50%.

Lucid Shares Down 19%

8:13 am

Among widely followed stocks, the biggest loss premarket is Lucid (Nasdaq: LCID). The electric car maker is down 19% after announcing a secondary offering to shore up its balance sheet. The company will offer 262.5 million shares and currently trades for just $3.28.

In earnings news, M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) just released earnings and beat expectations. Banks have done very well this earnings season.

Initial Jobless Claims Release at 8:30 a.m. ET

8:08 am

Stock futures are currently up across indexes, but that may change at 8:30 a.m. ET. Two key pieces of macroeconomic data are being released at that time: Initial Jobless Claims and September retail sales numbers.

Jobless claims hit 258,000 last week, but that number was boosted by Helene. With another major hurricane having hit Florida – Hurricane Milton – numbers may once again be skewed.

Shortly before 8 a.m. ET markets are looking up across the board on Thursday.

  • Nasdaq-100 Futures: Up 162 (+.80%)
  • S&P 500 Futures: Up 23 (.40%)
  • Dow Jones Futures: Up 55 (.13%)

The big news for the day that is driving the Nasdaq Composite to outsized gains is Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM) releasing earnings that point to a continuing boom in AI demand.

Let’s look at the market’s biggest stories today.

Taiwan Semiconductor Crushes Earnings

Taiwan Semiconductor has roughly a 90% market share in the advanced chips used in AI, so it’s a widely followed bellwether in the space. The company reported earnings and beat estimates on almost every major line item.

Third-quarter sales came in at $23.5 billion with operating margins at 47.5% versus a guide that popped out at 44.5%. That led to earnings of $10.06 billion, which handily topped analyst estimates of $9.33 billion.

Commentary on the company’s earnings call was also very bullish. Chairman C.C. Wei had this to say about AI demand:

“Demand is real, and I think it is just the beginning of this demand….demand is insane and I think it will continue for many years.” – C.C. Wei

With Taiwan Semiconductor having the broadest view into future purchasing plans of customers ranging from NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA), to larger hyperscalers like Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), to Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), this commentary is eyebrow-raising.

The earnings were good enough that NVIDIA  is trading up 3.09% in premarket trading. Look for other AI-related stocks like Broadcom (Nasdaq: AVGO) and Marvell (Nasdaq: MRVL) to also be up sharply at market open.

Earnings to Watch Today

There aren’t as many major earnings releases today as we saw on Tuesday and Wednesday when financial services companies generally beat expectations. However, both M&T Bank and Travelers are reporting before market open.

After market close today a couple of widely followed earnings will be Intuitive Surgical and Netflix. In addition, before the market opens on Friday Procter & Gamble, Schlumberger, and American Express will report.

 

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