Is the Viacom Turnaround Afoot? (VIA, CBS)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA) posted earnings of $0.44 EPS on $3.12 Billion in revenues. First Call consensus estimates were $0.41 EPS and $2.97 Billion on revenues.

This shows that revenues rose 14.7% year over year, and now the company is forecasting a three-year period from 2008 through 2010 where Viacom plans to deliver low double-digit annual growth in diluted earnings per share from continuing operations. This is based on 2007 adjusted diluted EPS of $2.36.

Interestingly enough for 2008, if we take the low-double digit face value and say 11%, we’d get $2.62 EPS and if we take 13% then we get almost $2.67 EPS.  First Call is at $2.66.

If we split the bar there and go for 12% and then plug in the same 12% for 2009, we’d get $2.96.  If we use 13% growth compounded then we get to $3.01 EPS.  First call is at $3.03.

The company has to grow by more than 13%, which is still within the "low double-digit" EPS growth plans.  If tyhe company can achieve that, then Wall Street may be hard pressed not to cheer.  Media is changing big time and the economy is still softening on the surface.

Sumner M. Redstone, Executive Chairman of Viacom, said, "Viacom entered 2008 at an aggressive pace….. We continue to unlock new value…. with our unparalleled entertainment brands. I am more confident than ever that we have the right strategies and the best management to deliver on our commitment to grow shareholder value over time."

Viacom shares closed at $39.92 yesterday and the 52-week trading range is $36.00 to $45.03.

Its ex-property CBS Corp. has recovered almost 10% from the lows of the last 5-days since its earnings came out as well.  CBS closed at $24.05 yesterday, and its 52-week trading range is $20.68 to $35.75.

Maybe Redstone and friends are turning the ship….. assuming they live up to their own internal forecasts.

Jon C. Ogg
May 2, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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