Take-Two Sees 2009 As Cold Year In Hell (TTWO, ERTS)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Burning_money_pic_2Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) just joined the ranks of video game publishers with bad earnings. Real bad earnings. And thank heavens for non-GAAP accounting. The company posted a GAAP loss of -$0.10 EPS and non-GAAP earnings of $0.02 EPS; and revenue was $323.4 million.  Thomson Reuters (First Call) had estimates of $0.05 EPS and $325.77 million in revenue.  It gets worse.

For the next quarter, Take-Two sees a non-GAAP loss of -$0.70 to -$0.85EPS on revenue of $175 million to $225 million, while First Call had estimates of $0.22 EPS on $317.6 million in revenue.  In short, it is going tobe a cold snowy day for Christmas at the company.

Forfiscal-2009, the company now expects non-GAAP earnings of $0.00 to $0.20 EPS on revenue of $1.1 billion to $1.25 billion.  First Callhad estimates at $1.26 EPS and $1.39 billion.

In a separate note, Take-Two said that it signed a new employment agreement with Rockstar Games.  This is the studiobehind the blockbuster Grand Theft Auto game franchise, and while termswere not disclosed the agreement runs to Jan. 31, 2012 and includes keyRockstar members Sam Houser, Dan Houser and Leslie Benzies.

Take-Two has also agreed to fund future development of new intellectualproperty to be owned by a newly formed company controlled by keyRockstar Games team members and published exclusively by Take-Two.

Based upon the horrible guidance and based upon the lack of performance, they better have these guys working triple shifts.

Shares are down 22% at $9.40 in after-hours trading.  This maychallenge the 52-week lows if these levels hold as the 52-week tradingrange is $9.35 to $27.95.

Next year is looking like it is going to be a lean one.  Managementprobably wishes now that it would have been more friendly to theinterest by Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS).  Unfortunately, the company isnow in its own soup.  It doesn’t feel like there are any Rockstars there right now.

Jon C. Ogg
December 17, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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