McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) still owns breakfast, regardless of the recent assault made on the day part by numerous fast food and fast casual restaurants. Lunchtime, however, may become the next battleground, with both Dunkin Brands (NASDAQ: DNKN) and Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) planning to capture the day part’s flag.
Much has been made of the attempts by chains normally associated with meals served later in the day, like Taco Bell and White Castle, to steal some of their burger joint rival’s breakfast market, a commanding 31% share of the day part that generates an estimated 20% of McDonald’s $28.1 billion in annual worldwide revenues. However, with so many choices over where to dine, there’s no established leader for other meals of the day, meaning some restaurants typically thought of as breakfast destinations can also make forays in the other direction and try and elbow into meals served later in the day.
Bloomberg News reports Dunkin Brands’ just began serving flatbread chicken sandwiches at its Dunkin Donut shops. That follows Starbucks rolling out several new lunch sandwiches at its stores, a move designed to squeeze more dollars out of its store later in the day.
Yet just like convincing customers that a Mexican fast food joint has something you’d want to eat with your morning coffee, consumers will need to be educated that a traditional breakfast food item — donuts, for instance — can also offer something more nourishing nd satisfying later in the day.
As Dunkin’s president of global marketing and innovation told Bloomberg, “The biggest challenge is generating awareness.”
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Yum! Brands’ (NYSE: YUM) Taco Bell did it with some creative marketing, coming up with the Waffle Taco for breakfast, though that takes a minute to get your head around as those items don’t immediately seem to be complementary — same with White Castle’s waffle chicken sandwich — as well as rounding up a bunch of people named Ronald McDonald to say how much they liked the new breakfast offerings.
Dunkin has a bigger challenge, though, than Starbucks, which has experimented with offering food items for years and generates about 60% of its revenues from customers visiting its coffee shops after 11:00 a.m. The donut shop, on the other hand, only makes 40% of its sales after the morning rush is over.
The difficulty is that breakfast is the only meal day part showing any growth. According to the market researchers at NPD Group, breakfast — which accounts for 21% of the total spent on meals all day long — saw sales grow 3% in 2013, while both lunch and dinner witnessed a 1% drop. Late night snacking, though, was also up 1%.
Still, with lunch representing more than a third of the dollars spent, it remains one of the biggest opportunities for morning-leaning restaurants.
In the end, the expansion by chains into day parts they’re not traditionally associated with shows there’s no time period that’s not important. Whether its Dunkin Brands and Starbucks moving into lunch, Taco Bell and White Castle serving waffles for breakfast, or a place like pancake house IHOP doing dinner (something they’ve done for a long time), we now have a 24-hour culture and to remain competitive restaurants will need to battle over every meal and every dollar being spent. They’re already paying for the land, the building, and the equipment around the clock, so they may as well make the best use of every daypart hour.
Some, like McDonald’s, will likely continue to dominate their respective niche, but in this war for consumers stomachs — and wallets — no one can expect to remain unassailed any longer.
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