Special Report

America's 25 Least Affordable Housing Markets

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The U.S. housing market improved over the course of 2016. Home purchases are up, foreclosure activity is down, and interest rates are on the rise after the Federal Reserve hiked rates recently in response to favorable economic conditions — and will likely continue to do so.

Due in part to these developments, owning a home — for those who can afford the down payment — continues to be more affordable than renting in most of the United States. Despite the economic improvements, however, rents and home prices are rising faster than wages in most housing markets across the nation.

Americans deciding whether to rent, buy, or move likely consider the timing and location of their potential home purchases. To highlight the regional patterns of the U.S. housing market, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed homeownership and rental affordability measures for over 500 counties nationwide, based on a comparison of regional monthly home payments and rents to average monthly wages.

Click here to see the America’s 25 least affordable housing markets.

The least affordable housing markets are not necessarily undesirable areas. In fact, high rental costs are often the result of strong demand. Rents rose by around 4% on average across the more than 500 counties reviewed. In most of the 25 least affordable areas, the year-over-year rent increase outpaced that average. In eight, rents rose by at least 15%.

In an interview with 24/7 Wall St., Daren Blomquist, senior vice president with property and real estate data company ATTOM Data Solutions, described rising rents as part of a vicious cycle. High home prices encourage more renting, which pushes up the demand and prices for rentals. Eventually, at high enough rental prices, buying becomes more attractive.

In most areas, especially the relatively unaffordable counties on this list, wages are also not keeping pace with rising rents and home prices. Rent or home price increases are outpacing wage growth in all but two of the 25 least affordable markets. For Blomquist, this trend is unsustainable. “Eventually, [rising rents and home prices] have to be supported by incomes,” he said.

It is also notable that 20 of the 25 least affordable housing markets are in either New York or California, and disproportionately in high income areas. In some of these areas, the affordability ratio exceeds 100%, meaning that even a person with an average wage would not be able to afford even the average housing unit. The pattern of slow wage growth with the already very high housing costs is ultimately unsustainable.

To identify the least affordable housing markets, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed home affordability and rental affordability for U.S. counties from an analysis by ATTOM Data Solutions of U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development data. For the ranking, we calculated a weighted average of the homeownership and rental affordability measures in each county, weighted by the percentages of owner- and renter-occupied housing units. Home prices and wage data — used to determine whether home prices or wages or whether rents or wages are rising faster in each market — also came from ATTOM.

Rental affordability is median fair market rent for a three-bedroom property as a percentage of the average monthly wage (based on average weekly wages). Home buying affordability is the monthly house payment for a median-priced home (based on a 3% down payment and including mortgage, property tax, homeowner’s insurance and private mortgage insurance) as a percentage of the average monthly wage.

These are the nation’s least affordable housing markets.

Views from Eagle Peak, Mt. Diablo State Park of the Diablo Range, in Contra Costa County, California
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25. Contra Costa, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 58.6% of $5,495
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 62.4% of $5,495
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

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Wrecks, Reeves Beach, Riverhead, Long Island, Nassau County, New York
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24. Nassau, New York
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 62.3% of $3,909
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 51.9% of $3,909
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: WAGES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Verrazano–Narrows Bridge, Staten Island, Richmond County, New York
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23. Richmond, New York
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 62.9% of $3,241
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 59.7% of $3,241
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: WAGES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: WAGES

Lake Merritt, Oakland, Alameda County, California
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22. Alameda, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 69.6% of $3,566
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 57.7% of $3,566
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

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Court House Main Street Pacific Ocean Santa Barbara County, California
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21. Santa Barbara, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 71.2% of $3,592
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 58.9% of $3,592
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Pier of Long Island in New York City, Queens County
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20. Queens, New York
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 77.9% of $3,549
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 56.2% of $3,549
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: WAGES

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Neighborhood road with fall foliage, Westchester County, New York
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19. Westchester, New York
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 81.5% of $4,082
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 42.2% of $4,082
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: WAGES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

English Tudor Cottage, Nevada County, California
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18. Nevada, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 69.5% of $3,623
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 59.8% of $3,623
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

The Tappan Zee from the Castle, Rockland County, New York
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17. Rockland, New York
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 73.7% of $4,234
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 53.0% of $4,234
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

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Hyde Street Cable Car San Francisco County, California
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16. San Francisco, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 89.4% of $3,636
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 54.3% of $3,636
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Houses near Half Moon Bay, San Mateo County, California
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15. San Mateo, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 77.3% of $4,780
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 52.4% of $4,780
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

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Colorful Victorian Houses in Cape May County, New Jersey
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14. Cape May, New Jersey
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 72.9% of $4,056
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 59.3% of $4,056
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: WAGES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Ventura County, California
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13. Ventura, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 74.3% of $4,273
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 63.0% of $4,273
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Historical red round barn at Fountaingrove Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California
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12. Sonoma, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 77.0% of $2,873
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 60.4% of $2,873
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

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A view of Shaw's Cove, Laguna Beach in Orange County, California
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11. Orange, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 80.9% of $8,108
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 56.9% of $8,108
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Morning at Monterey County, California
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10. Monterey, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 82.0% of $7,826
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 60.8% of $7,826
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: WAGES

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Napa County, California
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9. Napa, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 78.6% of $4,325
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 59.7% of $4,325
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: WAGES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

San Luis Obispo County, California
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8. San Luis Obispo, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 83.2% of $3,519
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 55.8% of $3,519
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: WAGES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: WAGES

waikiki beach and diamond head in honolulu hawaii
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7. Honolulu, Hawaii
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 73.4% of $5,607
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 70.7% of $5,607
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: WAGES

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Maui County, Hawaii
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6. Maui, Hawaii
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 81.3% of $4,078
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 70.6% of $4,078
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Vail, Eagle County, Colorado
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5. Eagle, Colorado
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 92.2% of $4,104
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 48.4% of $4,104
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: WAGES

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Crown Heights Townhouses, Kings County, New York
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4. Kings, New York
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 115.9% of $5,638
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 64.3% of $5,638
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Key West, Monroe County, Florida
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3. Monroe, Florida
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 95.3% of $3,844
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 72.2% of $3,844
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

Mediterranean-style beach houses in Capitola of Santa Cruz County in California
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2. Santa Cruz, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 104.8% of $5,061
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 67.0% of $5,061
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

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Tiburon Open Space Preserve Views, Marin County, Bay Area, California
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1. Marin, California
> Ownership as % of monthly wage: 104.0% of $5,213
> Rent as % of monthly wage: 77.3% of $5,213
> Home prices or wages rising faster?: HOME PRICES
> Rents or wages rising faster?: RENTS

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