The 2021 NFL Draft, taking place on April 29, has football fans excited for the future, as there are an unusually high number of highly touted quarterback prospects projected to go early in the draft process. College QBs Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, Justin Fields, Trey Lance, and Mac Jones all have unique skill sets that could propel each into becoming a top-10 pick.
Though the NFL is filled with young talent at the QB position, with players like Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and more, there is optimism that many of the incoming QBs can play at an MVP level. Each season, there is one quarterback that stands out as the very best at his position, putting his team in a great position to win the Super Bowl.
In order to determine the best quarterback from each year, 24/7 Wall St. used data from Pro Football Reference to review the statistics, honors, and postseason success of NFL and AFL quarterbacks each season dating back to 1945.
Though nothing is official yet, Trevor Lawrence seems like a lock to be drafted first overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars, with scouts hailing the Clemson quarterback as one of the most promising prospects in recent memory.
Jags fans will no doubt hope that Lawrence will follow in the tradition of Peyton Manning, John Elway, and Terry Bradshaw — can’t-miss prospects turned first overall picks who were as good as advertised, taking their teams from obscurity to Super Bowls. These are the most successful #1 overall draft picks in history.
Though draft picks are always cause for optimism, the sad reality is that highly touted amateur players do not always pan out in the pros. For every Peyton Manning, there are at least a few Jamarcus Russells — players who seem to have all the tools to be successful but can never put it together. These are the 40 most disappointing draft picks of all time.
Click here to see the best quarterback the year you were born.
1945. Sammy Baugh, Washington Redskins
> Quarterback rating: 109.9
> Passing yards: 1,669
> Passing touchdowns: 11
> Postseason success Lost in NFL Championship game
> Honors: n/a
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1946. Sid Luckman, Chicago Bears
> Quarterback rating: 71.0
> Passing yards: 1,826
> Passing touchdowns: 17
> Postseason success NFL Champions
> Honors: n/a
1947. Sammy Baugh, Washington Redskins
> Quarterback rating: 92.0
> Passing yards: 2,938
> Passing touchdowns: 25
> Postseason success None
> Honors: n/a
1948. Tommy Thompson, Philadelphia Eagles
> Quarterback rating: 98.4
> Passing yards: 1,965
> Passing touchdowns: 25
> Postseason success NFL Champions
> Honors: n/a
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1949. Johnny Lujack, Chicago Bears
> Quarterback rating: 76.0
> Passing yards: 2,658
> Passing touchdowns: 23
> Postseason success None
> Honors: n/a
1950. Norm Van Brocklin, Los Angeles Rams
> Quarterback rating: 85.1
> Passing yards: 2,061
> Passing touchdowns: 18
> Postseason success Lost NFL Championship game
> Honors: Pro Bowl
1951. Otto Graham, Cleveland Browns
> Quarterback rating: 79.2
> Passing yards: 2,205
> Passing touchdowns: 17
> Postseason success Lost NFL Championship game
> Honors: Pro Bowl, All-Pro, MVP
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1952. Bobby Layne, Detroit Lions
> Quarterback rating: 64.5
> Passing yards: 1,999
> Passing touchdowns: 19
> Postseason success Won NFL Championship
> Honors: Pro Bowl, All-Pro
1953. Otto Graham, Cleveland Browns
> Quarterback rating: 99.7
> Passing yards: 2,722
> Passing touchdowns: 11
> Postseason success Lost NFL Championship game
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1954. Otto Graham, Cleveland Browns
> Quarterback rating: 73.5
> Passing yards: 2,092
> Passing touchdowns: 11
> Postseason success Won NFL Championship
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1955. Otto Graham, Cleveland Browns
> Quarterback rating: 94.0
> Passing yards: 1,721
> Passing touchdowns: 15
> Postseason success Won NFL Championship
> Honors: All-Pro
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1956. Ed Brown, Chicago Bears
> Quarterback rating: 83.1
> Passing yards: 1,667
> Passing touchdowns: 11
> Postseason success Lost NFL Championship game
> Honors: Pro Bowl
1957. Y.A. Tittle, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 80.0
> Passing yards: 2,157
> Passing touchdowns: 13
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1958. Johnny Unitas, Baltimore Colts
> Quarterback rating: 90.0
> Passing yards: 2,007
> Passing touchdowns: 19
> Postseason success Won NFL Championship
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1959. Johnny Unitas, Baltimore Colts
> Quarterback rating: 92.0
> Passing yards: 2,899
> Passing touchdowns: 32
> Postseason success Won NFL Championship
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1960. Norm Van Brocklin, Philadelphia Eagles
> Quarterback rating: 86.5
> Passing yards: 2,471
> Passing touchdowns: 24
> Postseason success Won NFL Championship
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1961. Sonny Jurgensen, Philadelphia Eagles
> Quarterback rating: 88.1
> Passing yards: 3,723
> Passing touchdowns: 32
> Postseason success No
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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1962. Y.A. Tittle, New York Giants
> Quarterback rating: 89.5
> Passing yards: 3,224
> Passing touchdowns: 33
> Postseason success Lost NFL Championship game
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1963. Y.A. Tittle, New York Giants
> Quarterback rating: 104.8
> Passing yards: 3,145
> Passing touchdowns: 36
> Postseason success Lost NFL Championship game
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1964. Johnny Unitas, Baltimore Colts
> Quarterback rating: 96.4
> Passing yards: 2,824
> Passing touchdowns: 19
> Postseason success Lost NFL Championship game
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1965. John Brodie, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 95.3
> Passing yards: 3,112
> Passing touchdowns: 30
> Postseason success No
> Honors: Pro Bowl
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1966. Bart Starr, Green Bay Packers
> Quarterback rating: 105.0
> Passing yards: 2,257
> Passing touchdowns: 14
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1967. Sonny Jurgensen, Washington Redskins
> Quarterback rating: 87.3
> Passing yards: 3,747
> Passing touchdowns: 31
> Postseason success No
> Honors: Pro Bowl
1968. Earl Morrall, Baltimore Colts
> Quarterback rating: 93.2
> Passing yards: 2,909
> Passing touchdowns: 26
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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1969. Roman Gabriel, Los Angeles Rams
> Quarterback rating: 86.8
> Passing yards: 2,549
> Passing touchdowns: 24
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1970. John Brodie, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 93.8
> Passing yards: 2,941
> Passing touchdowns: 24
> Postseason success Lost NFC Championship Game
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1971. Roger Staubach, Dallas Cowboys
> Quarterback rating: 104.8
> Passing yards: 1,882
> Passing touchdowns: 15
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: Pro Bowl
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1972. Earl Morrall, Miami Dolphins
> Quarterback rating: 91.0
> Passing yards: 1,360
> Passing touchdowns: 11
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: All-Pro
1973. John Hadl, Los Angeles Rams
> Quarterback rating: 88.8
> Passing yards: 2,008
> Passing touchdowns: 22
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1974. Ken Stabler, Oakland Raiders
> Quarterback rating: 94.9
> Passing yards: 2,468
> Passing touchdowns: 26
> Postseason success Lost AFC Championship game
> Honors:
1975. Fran Tarkenton, Minnesota Vikings
> Quarterback rating: 91.8
> Passing yards: 2,994
> Passing touchdowns: 25
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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1976. Bert Jones, Baltimore Colts
> Quarterback rating: 102.5
> Passing yards: 3,104
> Passing touchdowns: 24
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1977. Roger Staubach, Dallas Cowboys
> Quarterback rating: 87.0
> Passing yards: 2,620
> Passing touchdowns: 18
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: Pro Bowl
1978. Terry Bradshaw, Pittsburgh Steelers
> Quarterback rating: 84.7
> Passing yards: 2,915
> Passing touchdowns: 28
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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1979. Dan Fouts, San Diego Chargers
> Quarterback rating: 82.6
> Passing yards: 4,082
> Passing touchdowns: 24
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1980. Brian Sipe, Cleveland Browns
> Quarterback rating: 91.4
> Passing yards: 4,132
> Passing touchdowns: 30
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1981. Ken Anderson, Cincinnati Bengals
> Quarterback rating: 98.4
> Passing yards: 3,754
> Passing touchdowns: 29
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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1982. Dan Fouts, San Diego Chargers
> Quarterback rating: 93.3
> Passing yards: 2,883
> Passing touchdowns: 17
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1983. Joe Theismann, Washington Redskins
> Quarterback rating: 97.0
> Passing yards: 3,167
> Passing touchdowns: 29
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1984. Dan Marino, Miami Dolphins
> Quarterback rating: 108.9
> Passing yards: 5,084
> Passing touchdowns: 48
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1985. Dan Marino, Miami Dolphins
> Quarterback rating: 84.1
> Passing yards: 4,137
> Passing touchdowns: 30
> Postseason success Lost AFC Championship game
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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1986. Dan Marino, Miami Dolphins
> Quarterback rating: 92.5
> Passing yards: 4,746
> Passing touchdowns: 44
> Postseason success None
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1987. Joe Montana, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 102.1
> Passing yards: 3,054
> Passing touchdowns: 31
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1988. Boomer Esiason, Cincinnati Bengals
> Quarterback rating: 97.4
> Passing yards: 3,572
> Passing touchdowns: 28
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1989. Joe Montana, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 112.4
> Passing yards: 3,521
> Passing touchdowns: 26
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1990. Jim Kelly, Buffalo Bills
> Quarterback rating: 101.2
> Passing yards: 2,829
> Passing touchdowns: 24
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: Pro Bowl
1991. Mark Rypien, Washington Redskins
> Quarterback rating: 97.9
> Passing yards: 3,564
> Passing touchdowns: 28
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: Pro Bowl
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1992. Steve Young, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 107.0
> Passing yards: 3,465
> Passing touchdowns: 25
> Postseason success Lost NFC Championship
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1993. Troy Aikman, Dallas Cowboys
> Quarterback rating: 99.0
> Passing yards: 3,100
> Passing touchdowns: 15
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: Pro Bowl
1994. Steve Young, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 112.8
> Passing yards: 3,969
> Passing touchdowns: 35
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1995. Brett Favre, Green Bay Packers
> Quarterback rating: 99.5
> Passing yards: 4,413
> Passing touchdowns: 38
> Postseason success Lost NFC Championship
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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1996. Brett Favre, Green Bay Packers
> Quarterback rating: 95.8
> Passing yards: 3,899
> Passing touchdowns: 39
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1997. Steve Young, San Francisco 49ers
> Quarterback rating: 104.7
> Passing yards: 3,029
> Passing touchdowns: 19
> Postseason success Lost NFC Championship
> Honors: Pro Bowl
1998. Randall Cunningham, Minnesota Vikings
> Quarterback rating: 106.0
> Passing yards: 3,704
> Passing touchdowns: 34
> Postseason success Lost NFC Championship
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
1999. Kurt Warner, St. Louis Rams
> Quarterback rating: 109.2
> Passing yards: 4,353
> Passing touchdowns: 41
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2000. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
> Quarterback rating: 94.7
> Passing yards: 4,413
> Passing touchdowns: 33
> Postseason success Lost Wildcard round
> Honors: Pro Bowl
2001. Kurt Warner, St. Louis Rams
> Quarterback rating: 101.4
> Passing yards: 4,830
> Passing touchdowns: 36
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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2002. Rich Gannon, Oakland Raiders
> Quarterback rating: 97.3
> Passing yards: 4,689
> Passing touchdowns: 26
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2003. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
> Quarterback rating: 99.0
> Passing yards: 4,267
> Passing touchdowns: 29
> Postseason success Lost AFC Championship
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2004. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
> Quarterback rating: 121.1
> Passing yards: 4,557
> Passing touchdowns: 49
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2005. Carson Palmer, Cincinnati Bengals
> Quarterback rating: 101.1
> Passing yards: 3,836
> Passing touchdowns: 32
> Postseason success Lost Wildcard round
> Honors: Pro Bowl
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2006. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
> Quarterback rating: 101.0
> Passing yards: 4,397
> Passing touchdowns: 31
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: Pro Bowl
2007. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
> Quarterback rating: 117.2
> Passing yards: 4,806
> Passing touchdowns: 50
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2008. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
> Quarterback rating: 96.2
> Passing yards: 5,069
> Passing touchdowns: 34
> Postseason success None
> Honors: Pro Bowl
2009. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
> Quarterback rating: 109.6
> Passing yards: 4,388
> Passing touchdowns: 34
> Postseason success Won Super Bowl
> Honors: Pro Bowl
2010. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
> Quarterback rating: 111.0
> Passing yards: 3,900
> Passing touchdowns: 36
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2011. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
> Quarterback rating: 122.5
> Passing yards: 4,643
> Passing touchdowns: 45
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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2012. Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos
> Quarterback rating: 105.8
> Passing yards: 4,659
> Passing touchdowns: 37
> Postseason success Lost divisional round
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2013. Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos
> Quarterback rating: 115.1
> Passing yards: 5,477
> Passing touchdowns: 55
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2014. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
> Quarterback rating: 112.2
> Passing yards: 4,381
> Passing touchdowns: 38
> Postseason success Lost NFC Championship Game
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2015. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers
> Quarterback rating: 99.4
> Passing yards: 3,837
> Passing touchdowns: 35
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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2016. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
> Quarterback rating: 117.1
> Passing yards: 4,944
> Passing touchdowns: 38
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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2017. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
> Quarterback rating: 102.8
> Passing yards: 4,577
> Passing touchdowns: 32
> Postseason success Lost Super Bowl
> Honors: All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2018. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
> Quarterback rating: 113.8
> Passing yards: 5,097
> Passing touchdowns: 50
> Postseason success Lost AFC Championship Game
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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2019. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
> Quarterback rating: 113.3
> Passing yards: 3,127
> Passing touchdowns: 36
> Postseason success Lost Divisional Round
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
2020. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
> Quarterback rating: 121.5
> Passing yards: 4,299
> Passing touchdowns: 48
> Postseason success Lost NFC Championship Game
> Honors: MVP, All-Pro, Pro Bowl
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