Twice a year, the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication conducts the most comprehensive survey on climate change knowledge and opinion in the United States. Out of 30 questions, one of the most contentious is about how much global warming will harm participants personally.
In their survey, Yale asked participants, “How much do you think global warming will harm you personally?” with options ranging from “not at all” to “a great deal”. While nationwide 45.8% of Americans think global warming will harm them personally a moderate amount or a great deal, large regional disparities persist throughout the country.
In Bronx County in New York, 61.0% of residents believe climate change will harm them personally, the most of any county nationwide. Meanwhile, in Mason County in northwest West Virginia, just 28.3% of residents believe climate change will harm them personally, the least of any county. On average, 49.7% of residents in the West believe climate change will harm them personally, compared to 48.1% of residents in the Northeast, 44.8% in the South, and 40.9% in the Midwest.
While climate change opinions tend to correlate with political affiliation, many of the counties most worried about global warming are also the ones at the highest risk of natural diaster. In FEMA’s National Risk Index, 18 of the 50 counties most worried about climate change are considered “relatively high” or “very high” risk of natural disaster. In 31 of the 50 most worried counties, summer 2024 was at least 3.0°F hotter than historical normals for 1901 through 2000.
To determine the counties that believe climate change will harm them personally the most, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed data on climate change belief from the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication. Counties were ranked based on the percentage of surveyed residents who answered that they think global warming will harm them “a moderate amount” or “a great deal” in 2023. Supplemental data on median household income and the percentage of adults with at least a bachelor’s degree is from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey and is for 2022. Data on natural hazard risk rating is from FEMA.
50. Socorro County, NM
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 52.9%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 74.8%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 16.8%
Median household income: $40,699
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Low
County seat: Socorro
49. Taos County, NM
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 53.1%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 80.6%
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 57.6%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 84.7%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 46.7%
Median household income: $76,044
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Moderate
County seat: Decatur
8. Mora County, NM
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 57.6%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 81.2%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 20.6%
Median household income: $40,231
FEMA disaster risk level: Very Low
County seat: Mora
7. Duval County, TX
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 58.2%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 78.1%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 7.8%
Median household income: $50,697
FEMA disaster risk level: Very Low
County seat: San Diego
6. Alameda County, CA
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 58.3%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 86.1%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 50.9%
Median household income: $122,488
FEMA disaster risk level: Very High
County seat: Oakland
5. San Francisco County, CA
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 58.3%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 87.1%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 59.8%
Median household income: $136,689
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: San Francisco City and County
4. Philadelphia County, PA
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 58.5%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 80.3%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 33.6%
Median household income: $57,537
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Philadelphia
3. Los Angeles County, CA
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 58.6%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 76.6%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 34.6%
Median household income: $83,411
FEMA disaster risk level: Very High
County seat: Los Angeles
2. Queens County, NY
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 59.5%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 82.4%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 34.8%
Median household income: $82,431
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Queens
1. Bronx County, NY
Residents who believe climate change will harm them personally: 61.0%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 79.5%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 21.2%
Median household income: $47,036
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Bronx
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