Nationwide, 56.5% of Americans say a candidate’s views on global warming are important to their vote.
In Alameda County in northern California, 73.5% of residents believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote, the most of any county nationwide.
In Calhoun County in West Virginia, just 37.5% of residents believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote, the least of any county.
While climate change concern is largely a Democrat cause, there are some Republican counties that rank among the top 50 most concerned counties.
Twice a year, the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication conducts the most comprehensive survey on climate change knowledge and opinion in the United States. Out of 30 questions, one of the most contentious is about how important a candidate’s views on global warming are to participants’ voting decisions.
In their survey, Yale asked participants, “How important are a candidate’s views on global warming to your vote?” with answer choices ranging from “not at all important” to “very important”. While nationwide 56.5% of Americans say a candidate’s views on global warming are important to their vote, large regional disparities persist throughout the country.
In Alameda County in northern California, 73.5% of residents believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote, the most of any county nationwide. Meanwhile, in Calhoun County in central West Virginia, just 37.5% of residents believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote, the least of any county. On average, 60.2% of residents in the Northeast believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote, compared to 59.7% of residents in the West, 55.1% in the South, and 52.0% in the Midwest.
While climate change concern is largely correlated with party affiliation, there are several counties that cross the red-blue divide. Of the 50 counties where the most Americans believe their candidate’s views on climate change are important, 45 voted Democrat in 2020. In Montour County in Pennsylvania, however, while 69.5% of residents believe a candidate’s views on global warming are important to their vote, 59.8% of residents voted Republican in 2020. In Lamb County in Texas, while 66.2% of residents report that a candidate’s views on global warming are important, 79.8% of residents voted Republican in 2020.
To determine the counties that believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote the most, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed data on climate change belief from the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication. Counties were ranked based on the percentage of surveyed residents who answered that a candidate’s views on global warming are “somewhat” or “very important” to their vote in 2023. Supplemental data on median household income and the percentage of adults with at least a bachelor’s degree is from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey and is for 2022. Data on natural hazard risk rating is from FEMA.
50. Pima County, AZ
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 64.2%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 78.5%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 35.0%
Median household income: $64,323
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Moderate
County seat: Tucson
49. Columbia County, NY
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 64.3%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 76.1%
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 69.5%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 63.3%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 36.4%
Median household income: $72,626
FEMA disaster risk level: Very Low
County seat: Danville
14. Queens County, NY
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 69.6%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 82.4%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 34.8%
Median household income: $82,431
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Queens
13. Tompkins County, NY
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 69.7%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 81.6%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 57.5%
Median household income: $69,995
FEMA disaster risk level: Very Low
County seat: Ithaca
12. Multnomah County, OR
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 69.9%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 83.0%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 47.7%
Median household income: $83,668
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Portland
11. Essex County, NJ
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 70.4%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 79.2%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 37.4%
Median household income: $73,785
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Moderate
County seat: Newark
10. San Mateo County, CA
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 70.7%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 84.8%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 52.9%
Median household income: $149,907
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Redwood City
9. District of Columbia, DC
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 71.0%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 86.7%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 62.6%
Median household income: $101,722
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Moderate
County seat: Washington
8. Montgomery County, MD
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 71.0%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 84.2%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 60.0%
Median household income: $125,583
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Moderate
County seat: Rockville
7. Dallas County, TX
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 71.5%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 76.6%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 33.9%
Median household income: $70,732
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Dallas
6. Suffolk County, MA
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 71.7%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 82.3%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 49.2%
Median household income: $87,669
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Moderate
County seat: Boston
5. Bronx County, NY
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 71.8%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 79.5%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 21.2%
Median household income: $47,036
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Bronx
4. New York County, NY
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 72.3%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 84.8%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 62.8%
Median household income: $99,880
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Manhattan
3. Philadelphia County, PA
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 72.4%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 80.3%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 33.6%
Median household income: $57,537
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively High
County seat: Philadelphia
2. Hudson County, NJ
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 72.8%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 81.2%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 46.6%
Median household income: $86,854
FEMA disaster risk level: Relatively Moderate
County seat: Jersey City
1. Alameda County, CA
Residents who believe a candidate’s views on climate change are important to their vote: 73.5%
Residents who believe that global warming is happening: 86.1%
Adults with a bachelor’s degree or higher: 50.9%
Median household income: $122,488
FEMA disaster risk level: Very High
County seat: Oakland
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