Why Doesn’t Google’s Stock Recover?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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After years of being among the elite group of the world’s most successful tech companies, a firm deeply admired for its innovation and rapid sales growth, and one of the hottest large cap stocks in America, Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) shares have reached a point where they have underperformed the S&P 500 for over a year, and they have barely improved recently. Google, at least by Wall Street standards, has become ordinary. Arguments it will remain at that level have grown.

However, it is a challenge to tag Google as “ordinary.” Revenue last year rose 19% to $66 billion. Income from operations performance was much less impressive, rising from $15.4 billion to $16.5 billion. Management said stock-based compensation pushed this figure down. Another reason is the surge in employee count, which continues to rise in the thousands from one quarter to the next. Google ended the fourth quarter with 53,600, up from 51,564 at the end of third quarter.

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Google, critics would argue, has more competition than it did five years ago. First among them is Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ: FB). Facebook’s revenue last year rose 58% to $12.5 billion. Even at that growth rate, Facebook has a long way to go to reach Google’s level. Google also might be compared to Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) financially. Apple’s revenue rose 30% to $74.6 billion. The comparison, many analysts would argue, is not fair. Google is largely a software company and Apple a hardware one.

The fair arguments against an improvement of Google’s fortunes are its troubles with regulators and the limits to its market share. Google may be punished for holding a monopoly in Europe, as Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) was more than a decade ago. There are also worries the same thing might happen in the United States. Google’s market share is above two-thirds in the United States and higher in some parts of Europe. Yet, its expansion in China, Russia and India are blocked by local search companies.

Apparently, the debate over Google’s future has tilted toward the skeptics. It will take something of substance for that change.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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