Why Analysts Are Abandoning Mellanox

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By Chris Lange Updated Published
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Why Analysts Are Abandoning Mellanox

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[cnxvideo id=”625491″ placement=”ros”]When Mellanox Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: MLNX) released its first-quarter financial numbers after the markets closed on Wednesday, investors and analysts alike were unhappy with the results. Consequently shares were sent into the fire on Thursday, and a few analysts are abandoning the stock.

24/7 Wall St. has included some highlights from the earnings report, as well as what a few key analysts are saying about why it might be a good idea to get out of the stock.

The company posted a net loss of $0.29 per share and $188.7 million in revenue. The consensus estimates had called for $0.49 in earnings per share (EPS) and revenue of $205.0 million. In the same period of last year, the fabless semiconductor maker posted EPS of $0.81 and $196.8 million in revenue.

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Looking ahead, the company expects to see quarterly revenues between $205 million and $215 million, with a gross margin of 70.5% to 71.5% in the second quarter. The consensus estimates are $0.67 in EPS and $222.99 in revenue for the second quarter

Credit Suisse took a look at the report and downgraded the stock to a Neutral rating from Outperform. The firm’s John Pitzer said in the report:

While the Company is well levered to our Data Growth Paradigm, execution has been lackluster, with the stock up ~25% YTD ahead of the SOX up 11%. MLNX reported C1Q Rev/EPS BELOW CS/Street on HPC InfiniBand pushouts – only the second time in 10 years MLNX missed guidance. The Company guided C2Q Rev/EPS BELOW CS/Street on similar q/q growth albeit off a much lower than anticipated C1Q Rev.

The report continued:

The stock is trading at 28 times EV/FCF w/SBC vs. high-growth peers of 28 and the Semi median of 19, cheap if growth reaccelerates but expensive if it does not; and while $2.03 cash/sh is nice, the lack of buyback/dividend greatly devalues a cash rich balance sheet. A premium multiple needs to be supported by premium growth which has not happened. Conversely the strategic value of the asset provides downside support as M&A is a potential and a risk to being too negative.

A few other analysts weighed in on the stock as well:

  • Jefferies has an Underperform rating and cut its price target of $38 from $41.
  • Piper Jaffray downgraded it to Neutral from Overweight.
  • D.A. Davidson cut its price target to $55 from $62.

Shares of Mellanox were last seen down 11% at $45.33 on Thursday, with a consensus analyst price target of $52.80 and a 52-week trading range of $38.75 to $52.80.

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Photo of Chris Lange
About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

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