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Earnings Previews: Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Pure Storage, UiPath

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The three major U.S. equity indexes closed higher Friday. The Nasdaq jumped 3.3%, the S&P 500 rose 2.5% and the Dow Jones industrials were up 1.8%. Friday’s report on personal consumption bolstered hope that U.S. inflation may have reached its peak. Tech and consumer cyclical stocks both added 3.4% to lead all 11 sectors. This week’s big economic report comes Friday, when the report on May payrolls is released. Economists currently expect the economy to have added about 325,000 in the month, down from 428,000 in April.

Before markets opened Tuesday morning, KE Holdings beat top-line and bottom-line estimates but issued downside guidance for the current quarter. An announced $1 billion share buyback program, still to be approved by shareholders, carried the day. The stock traded up 7% in Tuesday’s premarket session.

After markets close Tuesday afternoon, ChargePoint, HP, Nordic American Tankers and Salesforce will be reporting quarterly results. Specialty retailers Chewy and GameStop will take their turns in the earnings spotlight on Wednesday.

Here is a look at three tech companies on deck to report quarterly results after markets close Wednesday.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise

Enterprise-level hardware and software maker Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. (NYSE: HPE) has added less than 1% to its share price over the past 12 months. From a low in late September, the stock peaked in late March with a share price gain of about 11.5% for the period. The company’s free cash flow through the end of its first quarter of fiscal 2022, which ended in January, totaled $2.2 billion ($1.71 per share), and the payout ratio to shareholders was 16.8%. It has not raised its dividend in more than two years. HPE has to do better than that.

Analyst sentiment leans bullish on the stock, with 12 of 23 brokerages having a Buy or Strong Buy rating. Another eight have Holds. At a recent share price of around $15.80, the upside potential based on a median price target of $18.00 is 13.9%. At the high target of $21, the upside potential is about 32.9%.

For the company’s second quarter of fiscal 2022, analysts expect to see revenue of $6.96 billion, which would be down 2.3% sequentially but up 1.9% year over year. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are forecast at $0.45, down 14.7% sequentially and a penny below the year-ago number. For the full fiscal year ending in October, analysts are looking for adjusted EPS of $2.09, up 6.4%, on sales of $28.57 billion, up 2.8%.

HPE stock trades at 7.6 times expected 2022 EPS, 7.2 times estimated 2023 earnings of $2.20 and 6.8 times estimated 2024 earnings of $2.32 per share. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $12.99 to $17.76, and the company pays an annual dividend of $0.48. Total shareholder return over the past year is negative 0.3%.

Pure Storage

Shares of storage technology firm Pure Storage Inc. (NYSE: PSTG) reached an all-time high in late March and then dropped 32% to close the past 12 months with a share price gain of about 27%. As with fellow enterprise-oriented peer HPE, analysts are concerned that less spending by Pure Storage’s customers coupled with an uncertain macroeconomy will combine to hurt sales. The company’s own outlook for quarterly sales is a bit below analysts’ expectations. Not a good sign.
Of 20 brokerages covering Pure Storage, 16 have a Buy or Strong Buy rating and the other four rate the shares at Hold. At a share price of around $24.40, the potential upside based on a median price target of $39.00 is 59.8%. At the high price target of $48.00, the upside potential is nearly 97%.

Pure Storage is expected to report first-quarter 2023 revenue of $521.81 million, down 26.4% sequentially and up 26.4% year over year. Adjusted EPS of $0.05 are forecast to fall 87% sequentially and rise from a year-ago break-even quarter to $0.05 per share. For the full year, current estimates call for EPS of $0.87, up 30.3%, and sales of $2.59 billion, up 19%.

The stock trades at 28.1 times expected 2023 EPS, 21.9 times estimated 2024 earnings of $1.11 and 18.9 times estimated 2025 earnings of $1.29 per share The 52-week trading range is $17.40 to $36.71, and Pure Storage does not pay a dividend. Total shareholder return for the past year is 27.7%.

UiPath

UiPath Inc. (NYSE: PATH) makes and sells a business process automation platform. Over the past 12 months, shares have plunged by 79% on a steady downward trajectory that may be slowing a bit. The company has been hit hard by the sell-off in growth stocks, and shares took another hit in March, when the company guided first-quarter revenue below expectations. A new co-CEO came on board in April, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the company.

Of 22 analysts covering the stock, 14 have a Buy or Strong Buy rating, with seven more rating the shares at Hold. At a recent price of around $17.70 a share, the upside potential based on a median price target of $32.00 is 44.6%. At the high price target of $57.50, the upside potential stretches to 165.5%.


UiPath is expected to report first-quarter 2023 revenue of $225.37 million, down 22.2% sequentially and 21.0% higher year over year. Analysts are forecasting an adjusted loss per share of $0.06, compared to prior quarter EPS of $0.05 and year-ago EPS of $0.02. For the full year, current estimates call for a per-share loss of $0.02, down from year-ago EPS of $0.08, and sales of $1.08 billion, up 21.4%.

The stock trades at 241.3 times estimated 2024 earnings of $0.07 and 106.4 times estimated 2025 earnings of $0.17 per share. Its 52-week range is $13.66 to $83.11. UiPath does not pay a dividend, and the total shareholder return for the past year is negative 78.8%.

 

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