Telecom & Wireless

Why T-Mobile Crushed Q3 Estimates

Wikimedia Commons

When T-Mobile US Inc. (NASDAQ: TMUS) reported third-quarter 2018 results after markets closed Tuesday, the telecom carrier posted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.93 on revenues of $10.84 billion. In the same period a year ago, the company reported EPS of $0.63 on revenues of $10.02 billion. Third-quarter results also compare to the consensus estimates for EPS of $0.85 and $10.7 billion in revenues.

The big number for T-Mobile was 774,000. That’s the number of the company’s net postpaid additions for the quarter, a far larger number than either Verizon (295,00 net postpaid additions) or AT&T (69,000). T-Mobile’s number of prepaid subscribers rose by just 35,000, a sharp decline from a gain of 226,000 last year. Postpaid (contract) customers are more valuable to carriers than prepaid customers.

Controlling shareholder Deutsche Telekom has approved the company’s planned merger with Softbank-controlled Sprint. The higher hurdle, of course, is antitrust regulation, and no decision on that is due until next year.

The company’s postpaid churn, the percentage of contract customers switching carriers in the quarter, rose from a record low of 0.95% in the second quarter to 1.02%. Prepaid customer churn rose from 3.81% in the previous quarter to 4.12%.

CEO John Legere commented:

T-Mobile delivered ANOTHER record-breaking quarter! We continue to drive our business beyond expectations and despite the work underway to close the merger, we delivered our best financials ever in Q3. Our customer growth accelerated again, benefiting from the investments we are making in network and in customer experience, leading to 22 quarters in a row with more than 1 million net customer additions.

Service revenue rose to $8.1 billion, a 6% year-over-year increase and record high. Branded postpaid average revenue per user (ARPU) slipped 0.8% sequentially and 1.7% year over year to $45.17. Prepaid customer ARPU fell 1.5% year over year to $38.34.

For the full year, T-Mobile said it expects net customer additions to total 3.8 million to 4.1 million, well above the prior estimate of 3.0 million to 3.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to total $11.8 billion to $12 billion, an increase from the previously estimated range of $11.5 billion to $11.9 billion.

Analysts expect fourth-quarter EPS of $0.67 and revenue of $11.3 billion. For the full year, the consensus estimate calls for EPS of $3.21 and revenue of $43.02 billion.

The stock got a nice lift Wednesday, trading up about 7.2% at $68.53 at noon. The stock’s 52-week trading range is $54.60 to $70.94 and the consensus 12-month price target is $78.05.

It’s Your Money, Your Future—Own It (sponsor)

Are you ahead, or behind on retirement? For families with more than $500,000 saved for retirement, finding a financial advisor who puts your interest first can be the difference, and today it’s easier than ever. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three fiduciary financial advisors who serve your area in minutes. Each advisor has been carefully vetted and must act in your best interests. Start your search now.

If you’ve saved and built a substantial nest egg for you and your family, don’t delay; get started right here and help your retirement dreams become a retirement reality.

Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.

AI Portfolio

Discover Our Top AI Stocks

Our expert who first called NVIDIA in 2009 is predicting 2025 will see a historic AI breakthrough.

You can follow him investing $500,000 of his own money on our top AI stocks for free.