Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ: ORCL) is seeing its volume pick up in the stock options ahead of Tuesday’s earnings report. On Friday we outlined that the case for this report being a ‘make or break’ report for the company in our full earnings preview and the options trading sure appears to be supporting that case.
Here is the volume for the options expiring on March 22, 2012:
CALL$ Vol. OpInt
29.00 3,731 2,050
30.00 5,422 4,525
31.00 5,180 4,977
PUT$ Vol. OpInt
28.00 2,179 1,170
29.00 1,378 1,084
And here is the volume for the APRIL-2012 expiration:
CALL$ Vol. OpInt
30.00 23,535 44,411
31.00 4,599 22,483
32.00 1,362 23,845
PUT$ Vol. OpInt
26.00 1,598 2,578
27.00 9,315 37,565
28.00 1,778 11,358
29.00 6,645 6,076
Oracle reports on Tuesday after the close and the Thomson Reuters consensus estimate is $0.56 EPS on $9.02 billion in revenues. The weekly options are only pricing in a move of up to about $1.00 in either direction as of Monday for the earnings report. That might not be enough based upon the huge drop after the last earnings report.
Oracle is also in a different place than its technology peers today. Most tech stocks are at or challenging 52-week and multi-year highs. At $29.68 in mid-Monday trading, the 52-week trading range is $24.72 to $36.50. The $5.00 that the stock has recovered from its lows has all been on the market’s coat tails. Tuesday’s report sure looks like a make or break quarter.
JON C. OGG
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