Reddit Is Still Way Overpriced

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Reddit Is Still Way Overpriced

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24/7 Insights

  • Artificial intelligence exuberance has gripped the stock market.
  • A deal with OpenAI boosted Reddit’s already overvalued stock.

Reddit Inc. (NYSE: RDDT | RDDT Price Prediction) stock surged over 10% on news that it has cut a deal with OpenAI. The details regarding how the arrangement would help Reddit’s revenue were thin, so the jump in shares that were already overvalued did not make sense. Reddit’s stock has gone through a series of wild swings.

The company announced that OpenAI would bring Reddit content to ChatGPT. Reddit users can use “AI-powered features.” OpenAI will become a Reddit advertising “partner.”

Reddit is not the first stock to surge because of an artificial intelligence announcement, and it will not be the last. AI fever has been part of the stock market for several months.

Reddit is almost two decades old but is an immature public company. It has just over 80 million daily active users, which is small compared to most social media businesses. Facebook has 2.1 billion.

Reddit still has to prove that it can make money and has a long-term future beyond what it is today. Revenue in the most recent quarter rose 48% to a tiny $243 million year over year, and it lost $575 million in the quarter. It had an adjusted EBITDA of $10 million. It made an unimpressive forecast for the current quarter: Revenue could be as low as $240 million, and adjusted EBITDA could be zero.

AI exuberance has gripped the market. Reddit made no case that the OpenAI deal has concrete value. The stock should not have risen at all.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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