Scotia Economics Global Auto Report is predicting a flat 2007 for worldwide vehicle sales. Units in mature markets like Canada, the US, Western Europe, and Japan could actually attriite. Sales in growing markets like China and India should continue to rise.
In general, the news is not good for the large US automakers. GM is doing well in China, which should help it in 2007. But, all three of the large US car companies are losing share to Japanese rivals like Honday and Toyota in the critical North American market, a market that may shrink this year.
Ford and Chrysler will not have a big enough presence in China or India to offset problems in their home market. GM will get some manner of help from sales in Asia. But, Ford and Chrysler need it more, and that won’t happen.
Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at [email protected]. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.