Business Economists Still Fretting

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By Paul Ausick Published
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In its most recent survey of 67 firms, the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) continues to expect slow U.S. GDP growth, along with flat sales, margins and employment. Compared with the July survey, an equal percentage (39%) of respondents to the October survey expect sales to rise. Slightly more (16% compared to 11% in July) expect sales to decline, while the rest say sales are expected to be flat.

Other highlights from the survey:

  • In the finance, insurance and real estate sector, 63% of respondents reported rising sales, while only 6% noted declining sales.
  • More than half (58%) said profit margins were flat in the past three months, while 27% reported rising profits and 15% reported falling profits.
  • About 20% reported price increases during the past three months, compared with just 9% reporting price increase in July.
  • About two-thirds do not expect price changes in the current quarter, somewhat less than the 74% who did not expect price changes in July.
  • Some 60% said that materials costs to their firms had not changed in the past three months, compared with 65% in the July survey.

The NABE noted that anxiety over the crisis in Europe has subsided somewhat, although the approaching fiscal cliff remains a “significant” concern.

Paul Ausick

Photo of Paul Ausick
About the Author Paul Ausick →

Paul Ausick has been writing for a673b.bigscoots-temp.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

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