Will JPMorgan Set the Tone for Bank Earnings?

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By Chris Lange Updated Published
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Will JPMorgan Set the Tone for Bank Earnings?

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JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM | JPM Price Prediction) is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter financial results before the markets open on Tuesday. This is one of the major banks reporting this week. So far we’ve already seen Citigroup post a win.

Thomson Reuters has consensus estimates calling for $2.25 in earnings per share (EPS) and $27.28 billion in revenue from JPMorgan. The same period of last year reportedly had $1.76 in EPS and $25.45 billion in revenue.

This mega bank blew out expectations in 2017, with shares returning almost 24%, when analysts were originally expecting a −1.1% return. But CEO Jamie Dimon and his team’s share price dropped by 8.7% in 2018, to close at $97.62 apiece.

The current consensus price target of $120.07 was far higher than the consensus target of $104.23 from a year earlier. And the 3.3% juiced-up dividend yield would imply a total return of 26.3%, if the pool of analysts is proven to be correct.

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JPMorgan is currently the largest bank by market cap, with its $335 billion valuation. It also has a 3.3% dividend yield, and Dimon would prefer to keep raising that yield as long as the regulators will allow. With a total of roughly $240 billion in total debt maturities on the books, JPMorgan has some $73 billion maturing by 2021, and that is listed as follows: $132 billion in 2019, $23.9 billion in 2020 and roughly $46 billion in 2021.

Last quarter, even Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway became a big buyer of JPMorgan shares.

Here’s what a few analysts said ahead of the report:

  • Morgan Stanley has an Overweight rating and a $124 price target.
  • Barclays has an Overweight rating with a $140 price target.
  • Jefferies has a Hold rating.
  • Wells Fargo has a Buy rating.

Shares of JPMorgan were last seen up about 1% at $100.75, in a 52-week range of $91.11 to $119.33. The stock has a consensus analyst price target of $120.07.

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Photo of Chris Lange
About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

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