Tesla Is Worth More Than Walmart

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Tesla Is Worth More Than Walmart

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Tesla Inc.’s (NASDAQ: TSLA | TSLA Price Prediction) market capitalization has raced by $500 billion, which made Elon Musk, its founder, the second richest man in America. In the process, the value of the company moved ahead of Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT), the largest retailer in the world. The news shows that either the electric car business will take over the auto industry soon or that traditional retail is dying faster than expected.

Tesla’s market cap stands at $526 billion. Its revenue in the third quarter was modest (by the standards of large global car companies) at $8.8 billion. Of this revenue, $7.6 billion was from auto operations. Tesla is also in the solar power business. Net income across the company was $331 million, and Tesla delivered 139,593 vehicles in the period.

For some sense of scale, note that Volkswagen sold almost 11 million cars worldwide last year, spread across all of its brands. Of course, VW’s revenue growth is in the low single-digit billions, and Tesla continues to post double-digit growth. However, it would take years for Tesla to match VW unit sales, even at its current growth pace.

Walmart has a $428 billion market cap. Its revenue in the most recent quarter was $134.7 billion, which was up by 6% year over year. Its e-commerce operations rose by 79%. Net income was $5.2 billion. Walmart ended the quarter with over 11,400 store locations.
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The case against a bright future for Walmart is primarily that Amazon.com and other large e-commerce companies will chop away at its revenue as people move online to buy most of what Walmart sells in stores. Walmart does have, by many measures, the second-largest e-commerce operation in America. However, the company is burdened by 2 million employees worldwide and the cost of the operations of thousands of stores. In a nutshell, that is the argument against Walmart’s ability to stay profitable, or even hold its own in the broader world of retail.

Tesla’s market cap is based mostly on two arguments. The first is that fossil-fueled cars will soon begin to disappear around the world. The only alternative is electric-powered vehicles. Second, Tesla has to dominate this new world, with only modest competition for global sales from leaders like VW. Even with its balance sheet, its research and development and its product development, VW cannot catch Tesla in this market, this line of reasoning says.

Walmart’s fate will play out over several years, as its same-store sales numbers get posted quarter after quarter, along with its e-commerce numbers. Tesla, on the other hand, needs to sell over a million vehicles a year, quickly, or the doubts about its future will spread fast.
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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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