Volkswagen Starts a Comeback

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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After years of struggles in the U.S. market, Volkswagen’s September sales are a small beam of light. Up 3.9% from the same month last year, they will hit 50,000. The increase will be less than the entire industry, which is expected to grow by 9.1% in September to 1,240,000, according to KBB, which posted the numbers. So, VW’s market share among the largest manufacturers will fall to 4.0% from 4.2% in the same quarter a year ago.

VW has several things that could push its sales higher for the balance of this year and next. Among the most important ones are the overall, extraordinary health of the industry. KBB management observed:

  • The seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) for September 2014 is estimated to be 16.4 million, up from 15.3 million in September 2013 and down from 17.4 million in August 2014.

During the recession, when annual U.S. car sales fell below 10 million a year, the industry could only imagine, barely, such a comeback.

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VW’s sales for the first eight months have been a challenge. Sales fell 13.4% to 244,878. August was nearly as bad, with sales off 12.8% to 35,181.

VW’s U.S. management believes it has a formula to turn the sales trend in its direction:

The 2015 Jetta will go on sale this fall. Total Jetta deliveries for August, including SportWagen, accounted for 15,361 units.

The all-new, seventh generation Golf is off to a strong start with the Golf TSI and TDI Clean Diesel models are now more readily available in dealer showrooms. The all-new Golf and the all-new GTI are continuing to earn high praise in the industry including a Top Safety Pick + rating from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety and most recently an “A” rating in the Edmunds.com Top Rated Awards, the highest rating handed down by the editors and evaluators at Edmunds.com.

Although these vehicles are sold in the highly competitive low-priced, high miles per gallon segment of the industry, it is not unheard of for new models to capture the car-buying public’s attention.

In addition, VW continues to do what nearly all manufacturers do to improve sales — offer incentives. VW’s current deal is 0.9% APR for 60 months through Volkswagen Credit. Not free credit, but close.

If one or more of VW’s new models begins to sell well into the end of this year, its U.S. fortunes could finally start to mend.

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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